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We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

In this paper, we consider statistical estimation of time-inhomogeneous aggregate Markov models. Unaggregated models, which corresponds to Markov chains, are commonly used in multi-state life insurance to model the biometric states of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt

We propose a novel Bayesian inference framework for distributed differentially private linear regression. We consider a distributed setting where multiple parties hold parts of the data and share certain summary statistics of their portions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-08 Barış Alparslan , Sinan Yıldırım , Ş. İlker Birbil

A penalized maximum likelihood estimation approach is proposed for discrete-time hidden Markov models where covariates affect the observed responses and serial dependence is considered. The proposed penalized maximum likelihood method…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-04 Luca Brusa , Fulvia Pennoni , Francesco Bartolucci , Romina Peruilh Bagolini

A new family of matrix variate distributions indexed by elliptical models are proposed in this work. The so called \emph{multimatricvariate distributions} emerge as a generalization of the bimatrix variate distributions based on matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 José A. Díaz-García , Frencisco J. Caro-Lopera

We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Consider two different portfolios which have claims triggered by the same events. Their corresponding collective model over a fixed time period is given in terms of individual claim sizes $(X_i,Y_i), i\ge 1$ and a claim counting random…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Gildas Ratovomirija , Maissa Tamraz

This paper examines the impact of discrete marginal distributions on copula-based Markov chains. We present results on mixing and parameter estimation for a copula-based Markov chain model with Bernoulli($p$) marginal distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Mathias N. Muia , Martial Longla

In this paper, we introduce a new class of bivariate distributions called the bivariate exponentiated extended Weibull distributions. The model introduced here is of Marshall-Olkin type. This new class of bivariate distributions contains…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-28 Rasool Roozegar , Ali Akbar Jafari

This report aims to characterise certain sojourn time distributions that naturally arise from semi-Markov models. To this end, it describes a family of discrete distributions that extend the geometric distribution for both finite and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-23 Kelli Francis-Staite , Langford White

Markov combination is an operation that takes two statistical models and produces a third whose marginal distributions include those of the original models. Building upon and extending existing work in the Gaussian case, we develop Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Orlando Marigliano , Eva Riccomagno

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

Bivariate normal distributions are often used to describe the joint probability density of a pair of random variables. These distributions arise across many domains, from telecommunications, to meteorology, ballistics, and computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Emily A. Cooper , Hany Farid

We introduce a new multivariate circular linear distribution suitable for modeling direction and speed in (multiple) animal movement data. To properly account for specific data features, such as heterogeneity and time dependence, a hidden…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-28 Gianluca Mastrantonio

Explicit and exact results are obtained for the joint queue-length distribution for the two-level non-preemptive Markovian priority queue. Marginal distributions are derived for the general multi-level problem. The results are based on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Josef Zuk , David Kirszenblat

We propose a model for epidemic spreading on a finite complex network with a restriction to at most one contamination per time step. Because of a highly discrete character of the process, the analysis cannot use the continous approximation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-23 Wojciech Ganczarek

In this paper, we introduce a bivariate exponentaited generalized Weibull-Gompertz distribution. The model introduced here is of Marshall-Olkin type. Several properties are studied such as bivariate probability density function and it is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-19 M. A. EL-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , M. S. Eliwa

Mandatory emission trading schemes are being established around the world. Participants of such market schemes are always exposed to risks. This leads to the creation of an accompanying market for emission-linked derivatives. To evaluate…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-25 K. Borovkov , G. Decrouez , J. Hinz

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Multivariate bounded discrete data arises in many fields. In the setting of dementia studies, such data is collected when individuals complete neuropsychological tests. We outline a modeling and inference procedure that can model the joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Daniel Suen , Yen-Chi Chen