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Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

Nonlinear filtering with standard PF methods requires mitigative techniques to quell weight degeneracy, such as resampling. This is especially true in high-dimensional systems with sparse observations. Unfortunately, such techniques are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Theofania Karampela , Ryne Beeson

We present a general form of the iteration and interpolation process used in implicit particle filters. Implicit filters are based on a pseudo-Gaussian representation of posterior densities, and are designed to focus the particle paths so…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-10-20 Alexandre J. Chorin , Xuemin Tu

Probabilistic power flow (PPF) analysis is critical to power system operation and planning. PPF aims at obtaining probabilistic descriptions of the state of the system with stochastic power injections (e.g., renewable power generation and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-23 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

In this work, we develop tracking and estimation techniques relevant to underwater targets. Particularly, we explore particle filtering techniques for target tracking. It is a numerical approximation method for implementing a recursive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-11 T M Feroz Ali

An exploit of the Sequential Importance Sampling (SIS) algorithm using Differential Algebra (DA) techniques is derived to develop an efficient particle filter. The filter creates an original kind of particles, called scout particles, that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Simone Servadio

We develop a novel parallel resampling algorithm for fully parallelized particle filters, which is designed with GPUs (graphics processing units) or similar parallel computing devices in mind. With our new algorithm, a full cycle of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-17 Kenichiro McAlinn , Teruo Nakatsuma

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

Bayesian methods are appealing in their flexibility in modeling complex data and ability in capturing uncertainty in parameters. However, when Bayes' rule does not result in tractable closed-form, most approximate inference algorithms lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-09 Bo Dai , Niao He , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

Particle MCMC is a class of algorithms that can be used to analyse state-space models. They use MCMC moves to update the parameters of the models, and particle filters to propose values for the path of the state-space model. Currently the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-25 Chris Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a well-known nonparametric Bayesian inference technique, but they suffer from scalability problems for large sample sizes, and their performance can degrade for non-stationary or spatially heterogeneous data. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-28 Michael E. Kepler , Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Daniel J. Stilwell

Particle probability hypothesis density filtering has become a promising means for multi-target tracking due to its capability of handling an unknown and time-varying number of targets in non-linear non-Gaussian system. However, its…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Wang Junjie , Zhao Lingling , Su Xiaohong , Ma Peijun

Generally, phase retrieval problem can be viewed as the reconstruction of a function/signal from only the magnitude of the linear measurements. These measurements can be, for example, the Fourier transform of the density function.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Bing Gao , Haixia Liu , Yang Wang

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible class of priors for nonparametric Bayesian regression, but popular GP posterior inference methods are typically prohibitively slow or lack desirable finite-data guarantees on quality. We develop an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-28 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

State-space models are used to describe and analyse dynamical systems. They are ubiquitously used in many scientific fields such as signal processing, finance and ecology to name a few. Particle filters are popular inferential methods used…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-20 Alaa Amri

Learning-based approaches are increasingly leveraged to manage and coordinate the operation of grid-edge resources in active power distribution networks. Among these, model-based techniques stand out for their superior data efficiency and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Daniel Glover , Parikshit Pareek , Deepjyoti Deka , Anamika Dubey