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Related papers: Joint lifetime modelling with matrix distributions

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This paper proposes a new extension of the linear failure rate (LFR) model to better capture real-world lifetime data. The model incorporates an additional shape parameter to increase flexibility. It helps model the minimum survival time…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Suchismita Das , Akul Ameya , Cahyani Karunia Putri

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are widely used in many disciplines. Nonetheless, existing model comparison criteria do not indicate whether a model adequately fits the data or which components may be misspecified. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Dimitris Rizopoulos , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Isabella Kardys

The proportional hazards (PH), proportional odds (PO) and accelerated failure time (AFT) models have been widely used in different applications of survival analysis. Despite their popularity, these models are not suitable to handle lifetime…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-11 Fabio N. Demarqui , Vinicius D. Mayrink , Sujit K. Ghosh

In survival analysis, the lifetime under study is not always observed. In certain applications, for some individuals, the value of the lifetime is only known to be smaller or larger than some random duration. This framework represent an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Laurent Bordes , Maria Carmen Pardo , Christian Paroissin , Valentin Patilea

Many dynamical phenomena display a cyclic behavior, in the sense that time can be partitioned into units within which distributional aspects of a process are homogeneous. In this paper, we introduce a class of models - called conjugate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Eduardo Horta , Flavio Ziegelmann

Most theoretical analysis for lifetime distribution explains origins of specific distribution based on independent failure. We develop a unified framework encompassing different lifetime distribution for failure-coupled network systems. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-12 Yimeng Liu , Shaobo Sui , Dan Lu , Rui Peng , Mingyang Bai , Daqing Li

This study introduces the Exponentiated-Exponential-Pareto-Half Normal Mixture Distribution (EEPHND), a novel hybrid model developed to overcome the limitations of classical distributions in modeling complex real-world data. By compounding…

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

In this paper, we consider the relationship between phase-type distributions and positive systems through practical examples. Phase-type distributions, commonly used in modelling dynamic systems, represent the temporal evolution of a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Luz Judith Rodríguez Esparza , Fernando Baltazar Larios

This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not uncommon in lines of business such as third-party liability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Martin Bladt

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

In health cohort studies, repeated measures of markers are often used to describe the natural history of a disease. Joint models allow to study their evolution by taking into account the possible informative dropout usually due to clinical…

The iterative random subdivision of rectangles is used as a generation model of networks in physics, computer science, and urban planning. However, these researches were independent. We consider some relations in them, and derive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Yukio Hayashi

We propose a versatile and computationally efficient estimating equation method for a class of hierarchical multiplicative generalized linear mixed models with additive dispersion components, based on explicit modelling of the covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-18 René Holst , Bent Jørgensen

We introduce CopFITi, a copula model for probabilistic forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS). Our model combines the expressivity of normalizing flows for univariate marginals with the consistency and flexibility of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Christian Klötergens , Tom Hanika , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

The task of modeling claim severities is addressed when data is not consistent with the classical regression assumptions. This framework is common in several lines of business within insurance and reinsurance, where catastrophic losses or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas

The mean residual life function is a key functional for a survival distribution. It has a practically useful interpretation as the expected remaining lifetime given survival up to a particular time point, and it also characterizes the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-26 Valerie Poynor , Athanasios Kottas

Probability modelling for DNA sequence evolution is well established and provides a rich framework for understanding genetic variation between samples of individuals from one or more populations. We show that both classical and more recent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-07 Asger Hobolth , Arno Siri-Jégousse , Mogens Bladt

Complex continuous or mixed joint distributions (e.g., P(Y | z_1, z_2, ..., z_N)) generally lack closed-form solutions, often necessitating approximations such as MCMC. This paper proposes Indeterminate Probability Theory (IPT), which makes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Tao Yang , Chuang Liu , Xiaofeng Ma , Weijia Lu , Ning Wu , Bingyang Li , Zhifei Yang , Peng Liu , Lin Sun , Xiaodong Zhang , Can Zhang

A new probability distribution to study lifetime data in reliability is introduced in this paper. This one is a first approach to a non-homogeneous phase-type distribution. It is built by considering one cut-point in the non-negative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Christian Acal , Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro , David Maldonado , Juan B. Roldán