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We introduce an adaptive output-sensitive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for probabilistic models expressed as programs, Adaptive Lightweight Metropolis-Hastings (AdLMH). The algorithm extends Lightweight Metropolis-Hastings (LMH) by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-07 David Tolpin , Jan Willem van de Meent , Brooks Paige , Frank Wood

A classical approach for approximating expectations of functions w.r.t. partially known distributions is to compute the average of function values along a trajectory of a Metropolis-Hastings (MH) Markov chain. A key part in the MH algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-20 Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

We propose a weighting scheme for the proposals within Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and show how this can improve statistical efficiency at no extra computational cost. These methods are most powerful when combined with…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-01 Espen Bernton , Shihao Yang , Yang Chen , Neil Shephard , Jun S. Liu

Particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) allows for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear state space models by combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering. The latter is used to estimate the intractable likelihood. In…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-01 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are widely used in signal processing and communications for statistical inference and stochastic optimization. In this work, we introduce an efficient adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-17 David Luengo , Luca Martino

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms ubiquitously employ complex deterministic transformations to generate proposal points that are then filtered by the Metropolis-Hastings-Green (MHG) test. However, the condition of the target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Kirill Neklyudov , Max Welling

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

We consider versions of the Metropolis algorithm which avoid the inefficiency of rejections. We first illustrate that a natural Uniform Selection Algorithm might not converge to the correct distribution. We then analyse the use of Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-04 J. S. Rosenthal , A. Dote , K. Dabiri , H. Tamura , S. Chen , A. Sheikholeslami

I show how Markov chain sampling with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm can be modified so as to take bigger steps when the distribution being sampled from has the characteristic that its density can be quickly recomputed for a new point if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Radford M. Neal

A Multiple Target, Multiple Type Filtering (MTMTF) algorithm is developed using Random Finite Set (RFS) theory. First, we extend the standard Probability Hypothesis Density (PHD) filter for multiple types of targets, each with distinct…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-06 Nathanael L. Baisa , Andrew Wallace

Recent work has shown that energy-based language modeling is an effective framework for controllable text generation because it enables flexible integration of arbitrary discriminators. However, because energy-based LMs are globally…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Jarad Forristal , Niloofar Mireshghallah , Greg Durrett , Taylor Berg-Kirkpatrick

A well-known folklore result in the MCMC community is that the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm mixes quickly for any unimodal target, as long as the tails are not too heavy. Although we've heard this fact stated many times in conversation, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 James E. Johndrow , Aaron Smith

We study Thompson sampling (TS) in online decision making, where the uncertain environment is sampled from a mixture distribution. This is relevant in multi-task learning, where a learning agent faces different classes of problems. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Joey Hong , Branislav Kveton , Manzil Zaheer , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Craig Boutilier

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC), especially the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, is a widely used technique for sampling from a target probability distribution $P$ on a state space $\Omega$ and applied to various problems such…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-13 Koichi Miyamoto

In the Bayesian community, an ongoing imperative is to develop efficient algorithms. An appealing approach is to form a hybrid algorithm by combining ideas from competing existing techniques. This paper addresses issues in designing hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-14 Jeong Lee , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian Robert , Ross McVinish

The exchange algorithm is one of the most popular extensions of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm to sample from doubly-intractable distributions. However, the theoretical exploration of the exchange algorithm is very limited. For example,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-20 Guanyang Wang

State-space models (SSMs) are commonly used to model time series data where the observations depend on an unobserved latent process. However, inference on the model parameters of an SSM can be challenging, especially when the likelihood of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-08 Mary Llewellyn , Ruth King , Víctor Elvira , Gordon Ross

We show that it is feasible to carry out exact Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian state space models using an adaptive Metropolis Hastings sampling scheme with the likelihood approximated by the particle filter. Furthermore, an adapyive…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-03 Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

This paper discusses a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm developed by \citeA{MarsmanIsing}. The algorithm is derived from first principles, and it is proven that the algorithm becomes more efficient with more data and meets the growing demands…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-14 Timo Bechger , Gunter Maris , Maarten Marsman

Probabilistic programming languages can simplify the development of machine learning techniques, but only if inference is sufficiently scalable. Unfortunately, Bayesian parameter estimation for highly coupled models such as regressions and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yutian Chen , Vikash Mansinghka , Zoubin Ghahramani