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The reliable estimation of forecast uncertainties is crucial for risk-sensitive optimal decision making. In this paper, we propose implicit generative ensemble post-processing, a novel framework for multivariate probabilistic electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-16 Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

In this paper we consider the pricing of options on interest rates such as caplets and swaptions in the L\'evy Libor model developed by Eberlein and \"Ozkan (2005). This model is an extension to L\'evy driving processes of the classical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-21 Zorana Grbac , David Krief , Peter Tankov

We apply rough-path theory to study the discrete-time gamma-hedging strategy. We show that if a trader knows that the market price of a set of European options will be given by a diffusive pricing model, then the discrete-time gamma-hedging…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-17 John Armstrong , Andrei Ionescu

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are given by a possibly infinite linear combination of the elements of the time extended signature of a Brownian motion. First, we show that the model is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

In the information-based pricing framework of Brody, Hughston and Macrina, the market filtration $\{ \mathcal F_t\}_{t\geq 0}$ is generated by an information process $\{ \xi_t\}_{t\geq0}$ defined in such a way that at some fixed time $T$ an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Lane P. Hughston , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

This paper presents the solution to a European option pricing problem by considering a regime-switching jump diffusion model of the underlying financial asset price dynamics. The regimes are assumed to be the results of an observed pure…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Anindya Goswami , Omkar Manjarekar , Anjana R

We develop a stochastic volatility framework for modeling multiple currencies based on CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes. The proposed framework captures the typical risk characteristics of FX markets and is coherent with the symmetries of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-11 Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto , Guillaume Szulda

The robust option pricing problem is to find upper and lower bounds on fair prices of financial claims using only the most minimal assumptions. It contrasts with the classical, model-based approach and gained prominence in the wake of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-15 Alexander M. G. Cox , Annemarie M. Grass

We determine the variance-optimal hedge when the logarithm of the underlying price follows a process with stationary independent increments in discrete or continuous time. Although the general solution to this problem is known as backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Jan Kallsen , Leszek Krawczyk

We develop generic and efficient importance sampling estimators for Monte Carlo evaluation of prices of single- and multi-asset European and path-dependent options in asset price models driven by L\'evy processes, extending earlier works…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-17 Adrien Genin , Peter Tankov

In this article, we investigate the behavior of long-term options. In many cases, option prices follow an exponential decay (or growth) rate for further maturity dates. We determine under what conditions option prices are characterized by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-28 Hyungbin Park

We combine the one-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation and the semi-analytical one-dimensional heat potential method to design an efficient technique for pricing barrier options on assets with correlated stochastic volatility. Our approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-17 Alexander Lipton , Artur Sepp

In the papers Carmona and Durrleman [7] and Bjerksund and Stensland [1], closed form approximations for spread call option prices were studied under the log normal models. In this paper, we give an alternative closed form formula for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Nuerxiati Abudurexiti , Kai He , Dongdong Hu , Hasanjan Sayit

We develop an arbitrage-free random field LIBOR market model to price cross-currency derivatives. The uncertainty of the forward LIBOR rates of our cross-currency model is driven by a two time parameter random field instead of a finite…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-02 Rajinda Wickrama

In this paper, we derive closed-form formulas of first-order approximation for down-and-out barrier and floating strike lookback put option prices under a stochastic volatility model, by using an asymptotic approach. To find the explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Jiling Cao , Jeong-Hoon Kim , Xi Li , Wenjun Zhang

The aim of this article is to provide a systematic analysis of the conditions such that Fourier transform valuation formulas are valid in a general framework; i.e. when the option has an arbitrary payoff function and depends on the path of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-08 Ernst Eberlein , Kathrin Glau , Antonis Papapantoleon

A stochastic model for pure-jump diffusion (the compound renewal process) can be used as a zero-order approximation and as a phenomenological description of tick-by-tick price fluctuations. This leads to an exact and explicit general…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-21 Enrico Scalas , Mauro Politi

Exponential L\'evy processes have been used for modelling financial derivatives because of their ability to exhibit many empirical features of markets. Using their multidimensional analogue, a general analytic pricing formula is obtained,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-13 D. J. Manuge

A Levy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is proposed to model the evolution of the risk-free rate and default intensities for the purpose of evaluating option contracts on a credit index. Time evolution in credit markets is assumed to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-01 Yoshihiro Shirai

In this paper we analyse financial implications of exchangeability and similar properties of finite dimensional random vectors. We show how these properties are reflected in prices of some basket options in view of the well-known put-call…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-05 Ilya Molchanov , Michael Schmutz