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Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

We consider the winding number of planar stationary Gaussian processes defined on the line. Under mild conditions, we obtain the asymptotic variance and the Central Limit Theorem for the winding number as the time horizon tends to infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , José R. León

Fluctuations from a hydrodynamic limit of a one-dimensional asymmetric system come at two levels. On the central limit scale n^{1/2} one sees initial fluctuations transported along characteristics and no dynamical noise. The second order of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Timo Seppalainen

In this paper, we study central and non-central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary Gaussian fields. We apply our result to study drift parameter estimation problems for some stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We consider additive functionals of systems of random measures whose initial configuration is given by a Poisson point process, and whose individual components evolve according to arbitrary Markovian or non-Markovian measure valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Arturo Jaramillo , Antonio Murillo-Salas

Many living and complex systems exhibit second order emergent dynamics. Limited experimental access to the configurational degrees of freedom results in data that appears to be generated by a non-Markovian process. This poses a challenge in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Federica Ferretti , Victor Chardès , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Irene Giardina

Given that a stationary Gaussian process is above a high threshold, the length of time it spends before going below that threshold is studied. The asymptotic order is determined by the smoothness of the sample paths, which in turn is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Arijit Chakrabarty , Manish Pandey , Sukrit Chakraborty

Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

The integration of physical relationships into stochastic models is of major interest e.g. in data assimilation. Here, a multivariate Gaussian random field formulation is introduced, which represents the differential relations of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-14 Rüdiger Hewer , Petra Friederichs , Andreas Hense , Martin Schlather

We study estimation and prediction of Gaussian processes with covariance model belonging to the generalized Cauchy (GC) family, under fixed domain asymptotics. Gaussian processes with this kind of covariance function provide separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Moreno Bevilacqua , Tarik Faouzi

For an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter 0<H<1/2, one shows the Berry-Ess\'een bound of the least squares estimator of the drift parameter. Thus, a problem left in the previous paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Yong Chen , Nenghui Kuang

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with Gaussian driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Lauri Viitasaari

This contribution establishes exact tail asymptotics of $\sup_{(s,t)\in\mathbf{E}}$ $X(s,t)$ for a large class of nonhomogeneous Gaussian random fields $X$ on a bounded convex set $\mathbf{E}\subset\mathbb{R}^2$, with variance function that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

We consider a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) process driven by a non-symmetric stable L{\'e}vy process with jump activity $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2) and we address the joint estimation of drift, scaling and jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

Given a weakly dependent stationary process, we describe the transition between a Berry-Esseen bound and a second order Edgeworth expansion in terms of the Berry-Esseen characteristic. This characteristic is sharp: We show that Edgeworth…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Moritz Jirak , Wei Biao Wu , Ou Zhao

We define a new class of Gaussian processes on compact metric graphs such as street or river networks. The proposed models, the Whittle--Mat\'ern fields, are defined via a fractional stochastic differential equation on the compact metric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-07 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

We consider the problem of estimation of the drift parameter of an ergodic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'evy process with heavy tails. The process is observed continuously on a long time interval $[0,T]$, $T\to\infty$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Alexander Gushchin , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Marian Ritsch

It is shown that if the Euclidean path integral measure of a minimally coupled free quantum scalar field on a classical metric background is interpreted as probability of observing the field configuration given the background metric then…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-22 Can Gokler