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It is becoming increasingly important for machine learning methods to make predictions that are interpretable as well as accurate. In many practical applications, it is of interest which features and feature interactions are relevant to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-09 Viktoriya Krakovna , Jiong Du , Jun S. Liu

We give a new consistent scoring function for structure learning of Bayesian networks. In contrast to traditional approaches to scorebased structure learning, such as BDeu or MDL, the complexity penalty that we propose is data-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Eliot Brenner , David Sontag

We present an approach to model-based hierarchical clustering by formulating an objective function based on a Bayesian analysis. This model organizes the data into a cluster hierarchy while specifying a complex feature-set partitioning that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Shivakumar Vaithyanathan , Byron E Dom

Causal inference has gained much popularity in recent years, with interests ranging from academic, to industrial, to educational, and all in between. Concurrently, the study and usage of neural networks has also grown profoundly (albeit at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Demetrios Papakostas , Andrew Herren , P. Richard Hahn , Francisco Castillo

To understand biological diversification, it is important to account for large-scale processes that affect the evolutionary history of groups of co-distributed populations of organisms. Such events predict temporally clustered divergences…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-11 Jamie R. Oaks

Score-based modeling through stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has provided a new perspective on diffusion models, and demonstrated superior performance on continuous data. However, the gradient of the log-likelihood function, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Haoran Sun , Lijun Yu , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Hanjun Dai

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

In this work, we investigated the application of score-based gradient learning in discriminative and generative classification settings. Score function can be used to characterize data distribution as an alternative to density. It can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Yongchao Huang

Knowing the causal structure of a system is of fundamental interest in many areas of science and can aid the design of prediction algorithms that work well under manipulations to the system. The causal structure becomes identifiable from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-30 Martin Emil Jakobsen , Rajen D. Shah , Peter Bühlmann , Jonas Peters

Bayesian networks can be used to extract explanations about the observed state of a subset of variables. In this paper, we explicate the desiderata of an explanation and confront them with the concept of explanation proposed by existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ulf Nielsen , Jean-Philippe Pellet , André Elisseeff

Classification and Regression Trees (CARTs) are off-the-shelf techniques in modern Statistics and Machine Learning. CARTs are traditionally built by means of a greedy procedure, sequentially deciding the splitting predictor variable(s) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Rafael Blanquero , Emilio Carrizosa , Cristina Molero-Río , Dolores Romero Morales

In many applications of supervised learning, multiple classification or regression outputs have to be predicted jointly. We consider several extensions of gradient boosting to address such problems. We first propose a straightforward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-21 Arnaud Joly , Louis Wehenkel , Pierre Geurts

Two of the most studied extensions of trace and testing equivalences to nondeterministic and probabilistic processes induce distinctions that have been questioned and lack properties that are desirable. Probabilistic trace-distribution…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Marco Bernardo , Rocco De Nicola , Michele Loreti

We propose a novel "tree-averaging" model that utilizes the ensemble of classification and regression trees (CART). Each constituent tree is estimated with a subset of similar data. We treat this grouping of subsets as Bayesian ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-20 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Many machine learning tools for regression are based on recursive partitioning of the covariate space into smaller regions, where the regression function can be estimated locally. Among these, regression trees and their ensembles have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Stephanie van der Pas , Veronika Rockova

Decomposable graphical models, also known as perfect DAG models, play a fundamental role in standard approaches to probabilistic inference via graph representations in modern machine learning and statistics. However, such models are limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Eliana Duarte , Liam Solus

We consider multi-class classification where the predictor has a hierarchical structure that allows for a very large number of labels both at train and test time. The predictive power of such models can heavily depend on the structure of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-06 Yacine Jernite , Anna Choromanska , David Sontag

Decision trees are commonly used predictive models due to their flexibility and interpretability. This paper is directed at quantifying the uncertainty of decision tree predictions by employing a Bayesian inference approach. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Jodie A. Cochrane , Adrian Wills , Sarah J. Johnson

When dealing with tabular data, models based on decision trees are a popular choice due to their high accuracy on these data types, their ease of application, and explainability properties. However, when it comes to graph-structured data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Maya Bechler-Speicher , Amir Globerson , Ran Gilad-Bachrach

In this paper we present decomposable priors, a family of priors over structure and parameters of tree belief nets for which Bayesian learning with complete observations is tractable, in the sense that the posterior is also decomposable and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Marina Meila , Tommi S. Jaakkola