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We propose an approach based on function evaluations and Bayesian inference to extract higher-order differential information of objective functions {from a given ensemble of particles}. Pointwise evaluation $\{V(x^i)\}_i$ of some potential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Claudia Schillings , Claudia Totzeck , Philipp Wacker

We present a novel technique for tailoring Bayesian quadrature (BQ) to model selection. The state-of-the-art for comparing the evidence of multiple models relies on Monte Carlo methods, which converge slowly and are unreliable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Henry Chai , Jean-Francois Ton , Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne

Importance Sampling methods are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions or some of their moments. In its standard approach, samples are drawn from a single proposal distribution and weighted properly. However, since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Generalization to out-of-distribution (OOD) data is a critical challenge in machine learning. Ensemble-based methods, like weight space ensembles that interpolate model parameters, have been shown to achieve superior OOD performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Yong Lin , Lu Tan , Yifan Hao , Honam Wong , Hanze Dong , Weizhong Zhang , Yujiu Yang , Tong Zhang

The growing availability of large health databases has expanded the use of observational studies for comparative effectiveness research. Unlike randomized trials, observational studies must adjust for systematic differences in patient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Haidong Lu , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

In recent years, network embedding methods have garnered increasing attention because of their effectiveness in various information retrieval tasks. The goal is to learn low-dimensional representations of vertexes in an information network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-02 Chih-Ming Chen , Yi-Hsuan Yang , Yian Chen , Ming-Feng Tsai

Mixture proportion estimation (MPE) is the problem of estimating the weight of a component distribution in a mixture, given samples from the mixture and component. This problem constitutes a key part in many "weakly supervised learning"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-01 Harish G. Ramaswamy , Clayton Scott , Ambuj Tewari

Model averaging techniques in the actuarial literature aim to forecast future longevity appropriately by combining forecasts derived from various models. This approach often yields more accurate predictions than those generated by a single…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-28 Giovanna Bimonte , Maria Russolillo , Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov

This research introduces a novel methodology for optimizing Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) by synergistically integrating them with traditional machine learning algorithms such as Random Forests (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Peiwen Tan

In this work, we present a comprehensive treatment of weighted random sampling (WRS) over data streams. More precisely, we examine two natural interpretations of the item weights, describe an existing algorithm for each case ([2, 4]),…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-07-29 Pavlos S. Efraimidis

Deep ensembles (DE) have been successful in improving model performance by learning diverse members via the stochasticity of random initialization. While recent works have attempted to promote further diversity in DE via hyperparameters or…

In this work, we present a new random sampling method for data streams where the probability of an element's inclusion in the sample is proportional to a weight associated with that element. Our method is based on sampling with replacement,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Adriano Meligrana , Adriano Fazzone

In machine learning, ensembles are important tools for improving the model performance. In natural language processing specifically, ensembles boost the performance of a method due to multiple large models available in open source. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Polina Proskura , Alexey Zaytsev

The imbalanced data classification remains a vital problem. The key is to find such methods that classify both the minority and majority class correctly. The paper presents the classifier ensemble for classifying binary, non-stationary and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Joanna Grzyb , Jakub Klikowski , Michał Woźniak

Data clustering has received a lot of attention and numerous methods, algorithms and software packages are available. Among these techniques, parametric finite-mixture models play a central role due to their interesting mathematical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-31 Israel D. Gebru , Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Florence Forbes , Radu Horaud

Estimation and inference for the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a cornerstone of causal inference and often serves as the foundation for developing procedures for more complicated settings. Although traditionally analyzed in a batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

Bayesian optimization (BO) has become an effective approach for black-box function optimization problems when function evaluations are expensive and the optimum can be achieved within a relatively small number of queries. However, many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-06 Zi Wang , Clement Gehring , Pushmeet Kohli , Stefanie Jegelka

An ensemble method is introduced that utilizes randomization and loss function gradients to compute a prediction. Multiple weakly-correlated estimators approximate the gradient at randomly sampled points on the error surface and are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Nicholas Smith

The combination of multiple classifiers using ensemble methods is increasingly important for making progress in a variety of difficult prediction problems. We present a comparative analysis of several ensemble methods through two case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Sean Whalen , Gaurav Pandey