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We consider the minimization over probability measures of the expected value of a random variable, regularized by relative entropy with respect to a given probability distribution. In the general setting we provide a complete…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Hilbert J. Kappen

We derive P(M,t_m), the joint probability density of the maximum M and the time t_m at which this maximum is achieved for a class of constrained Brownian motions. In particular, we provide explicit results for excursions, meanders and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-31 Satya. N. Majumdar , Julien Randon-Furling , Michael J. Kearney , Marc Yor

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$ drifting to infinity, (inspired on the early ideas of Shiryaev (2002)) we are interested in finding a stopping time that minimises the $L^p$ distance ($p>1$) with $g$, the last time $X$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We consider a general class of high order weak approximation schemes for stochastic differential equations driven by L\'evy processes with infinite activity. These schemes combine a compound Poisson approximation for the jump part of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-24 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Peter Tankov

We investigate an optimal stopping problem for the expected value of a discounted payoff on a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion under two constraints on the possible stopping times: only at exogenous random times and only during a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Takuji Arai , Masahiko Takenaka

We solve the problem of optimal stopping of a Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the stopping time's distribution is a given measure consisting of finitely-many atoms. In particular, we show that this problem can be converted to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Christopher W. Miller

This paper deals with the taking into account a given set of realizations as constraints in the Kullback-Leibler minimum principle, which is used as a probabilistic learning algorithm. This permits the effective integration of data into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-09 Christian Soize

We consider a singular control problem that aims to maximize the expected cumulative rewards, where the instantaneous returns depend on the state of a controlled process. The contributions of this paper are twofold. Firstly, to establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco , Jose Luis Perez

We consider the problem of stochastic optimal control, where the state-feedback control policies take the form of a probability distribution and where a penalty on the entropy is added. By viewing the cost function as a Kullback- Leibler…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Marc Lambert , Francis Bach , Silvère Bonnabel

For a semi-martingale $X_t$, which forms a stochastic boundary, a rate-optimal estimator for its quadratic variation $\langle X, X \rangle_t$ is constructed based on observations in the vicinity of $X_t$. The problem is embedded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Markus Reiß

The approach to the theory of a relativistic random process is considered by the path integral method as Brownian motion taking into account the boundedness of speed. An attempt was made to build a relativistic analogue of the Wiener…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-30 E. A. Kurianovich , A. I. Mikhailov , I. V. Volovich

Mathematically, the execution of an American-style financial derivative is commonly reduced to solving an optimal stopping problem. Breaking the general assumption that the knowledge of the holder is restricted to the price history of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Bernardo D'Auria , Eduardo García-Portugués , Abel Guada

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

We present an exact solution for the probability density function $P(\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}|T)$ of the time-difference between the minimum and the maximum of a one-dimensional Brownian motion of duration $T$. We then generalise our results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-20 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Considering the paradigmatic driven Brownian motion, we perform extensive numerical analysis on the performance of optimal linear-response processes far from equilibrium. We focus on the overdamped regime where exact optimal processes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-28 Lucas P. Kamizaki , Marcus V. S. Bonança , Sérgio R. muniz

We study a version of the stochastic control problem of minimizing the sum of running and controlling costs, where control opportunities are restricted to independent Poisson arrival times. Under a general setting driven by a general L\'evy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Kei Noba , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We develop a novel stochastic valuation and premium calculation principle based on probability measure distortions that are induced by quantile processes in continuous time. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived under which the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Holly Brannelly , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

We study pathwise approximation of scalar stochastic differential equations at a single point. We provide the exact rate of convergence of the minimal errors that can be achieved by arbitrary numerical methods that are based (in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Muller-Gronbach

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne
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