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Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

The ability to predict accurate thermodynamic and kinetic properties in biomolecular systems is of both scientific and practical utility. While both remain very difficult, predictions of kinetics are particularly difficult because rates, in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-06-13 Yong Wang , Omar Valsson , Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello , Kresten Lindorff-Larsen

We address the problem of prediction of multivariate data process using an underlying graph model. We develop a method that learns a sparse partial correlation graph in a tuning-free and computationally efficient manner. Specifically, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Arun Venkitaraman , Dave Zachariah

The growing interest for high dimensional and functional data analysis led in the last decade to an important research developing a consequent amount of techniques. Parallelized algorithms, which consist in distributing and treat the data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Sofiane Saadane

Relational Continuous Models (RCMs) represent joint probability densities over attributes of objects, when the attributes have continuous domains. With relational representations, they can model joint probability distributions over large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Jaesik Choi , Eyal Amir , David J. Hill

Complex systems display variability over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Some scales are unresolved due to computational limitations. The impact of these unresolved scales on the resolved scales needs to be parameterized or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Aijun Du , Jinqiao Duan

We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar

Stochastic optimization algorithms update models with cheap per-iteration costs sequentially, which makes them amenable for large-scale data analysis. Such algorithms have been widely studied for structured sparse models where the sparsity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Baojian Zhou , Feng Chen , Yiming Ying

We investigate nonlinear prediction in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via an end-to-end architecture, the need for hand-designed features and manual model selection issues of conventional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-11 Mustafa E. Aydın , Suleyman S. Kozat

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

A key step in mechanistic modelling of dynamical systems is to conduct a structural identifiability analysis. This entails deducing which parameter combinations can be estimated from a given set of observed outputs. The standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Johannes G Borgqvist , Alexander P Browning , Fredrik Ohlsson , Ruth E Baker

Rate change calculations in the literature involve deterministic methods that measure the change in premium for a given policy. The definition of rate change as a statistical parameter is proposed to address the stochastic nature of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

While large training datasets generally offer improvement in model performance, the training process becomes computationally expensive and time consuming. Distributed learning is a common strategy to reduce the overall training time by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Nicole Mücke , Enrico Reiss , Jonas Rungenhagen , Markus Klein

In this uncertain world, data uncertainty is inherent in many applications and its importance is growing drastically due to the rapid development of modern technologies. Nowadays, researchers have paid more attention to mine patterns in…

Linear optimization problems are investigated whose parameters are uncertain. We apply coherent distortion risk measures to capture the possible violation of a restriction. Each risk constraint induces an uncertainty set of coefficients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Karl Mosler , Pavel Bazovkin

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

In this article, an efficient sequential linear programming algorithm (SLP) for uncertainty analysis-based data-driven computational mechanics (UA-DDCM) is presented. By assuming that the uncertain constitutive relationship embedded behind…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Mengcheng Huang , Chang Liu , Zongliang Du , Shan Tang , Xu Guo

Many complex systems have been shown to share universal properties of organization, such as scale independence, modularity and self-similarity. We borrow tools from statistical physics in order to study structural preferential attachment…

We present a framework to define a large class of neural networks for which, by construction, training by gradient flow provably reaches arbitrarily low loss when the number of parameters grows. Distinct from the fixed-space global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-13 David A. R. Robin , Kevin Scaman , Marc Lelarge