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We consider the problem of lower bounding the error probability under the invariant causal prediction (ICP) framework. To this end, we examine and draw connections between ICP and the zero-rate Gaussian multiple access channel by first…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Austin Goddard , Yu Xiang , Ilya Soloveychik

Invariant causal prediction provides a useful framework for identifying causal predictors of a response using heterogeneous data from multiple environments. One valuable property of the original invariant causal prediction method is that it…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jinzhou Li , Jelle J Goeman

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

It has become increasingly common nowadays to collect observations of feature and response pairs from different environments. As a consequence, one has to apply learned predictors to data with a different distribution due to distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-31 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

We study causal inference in a multi-environment setting, in which the functional relations for producing the variables from their direct causes remain the same across environments, while the distribution of exogenous noises may vary. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-29 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

This paper studies the performance of block coding on an additive white Gaussian noise channel under different power limitations at the transmitter. Lower bounds are presented for the minimum error probability of codes satisfying maximal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

Learning representations that capture the underlying data generating process is a key problem for data efficient and robust use of neural networks. One key property for robustness which the learned representation should capture and which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Mathieu Chevalley , Charlotte Bunne , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

An additive noise channel is considered, in which the distribution of the noise is nonparametric and unknown. The problem of learning encoders and decoders based on noise samples is considered. For uncoded communication systems, the problem…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Nir Weinberger

Channel estimation is of crucial importance for tomorrow's wireless mobile communication systems. This paper focuses on the solution of channel parameters estimation problem in a scenario involving multiple paths in the presence of additive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-04-05 Amir Ebrahimi , Ardavan Rahimian

Through refined asymptotic analysis based on the normal approximation, we study how higher-order coding performance depends on the mean power as well as on finer statistics of the input power. We introduce a multifaceted power model in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Adeel Mahmood , Aaron B. Wagner

Selecting powerful predictors for an outcome is a cornerstone task for machine learning. However, some types of questions can only be answered by identifying the predictors that causally affect the outcome. A recent approach to this causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Guillaume Martinet , Alexander Strzalkowski , Barbara E. Engelhardt

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

One of the goals of probabilistic inference is to decide whether an empirically observed distribution is compatible with a candidate Bayesian network. However, Bayesian networks with hidden variables give rise to highly non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 R. Chaves , L. Luft , T. O. Maciel , D. Gross , D. Janzing , B. Schölkopf

One method for obtaining generalizable solutions to machine learning tasks when presented with diverse training environments is to find \textit{invariant representations} of the data. These are representations of the covariates such that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Advait Parulekar , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Sanjay Shakkottai

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in statistical methods that exhibit robust performance under distribution changes between training and test data. While most of the related research focuses on point predictions with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Alexander Henzi , Xinwei Shen , Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann

As large language models (LLMs) gain popularity in conducting prediction tasks in-context, understanding the sources of uncertainty in in-context learning becomes essential to ensuring reliability. The recent hypothesis of in-context…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-08 I. Shavindra Jayasekera , Jacob Si , Filippo Valdettaro , Wenlong Chen , A. Aldo Faisal , Yingzhen Li

Probabilities of causation are fundamental to individual-level explanation and decision making, yet they are inherently counterfactual and not point-identifiable from data in general. Existing bounds either disregard available covariates,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yuxuan Xie , Ang Li

In this work, we study two models of arbitrarily varying channels, when causal side information is available at the encoder in a causal manner. First, we study the arbitrarily varying channel (AVC) with input and state constraints, when the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-23 Uzi Pereg , Yossef Steinberg

Many application domains such as ecology or genomics have to deal with multivariate non Gaussian observations. A typical example is the joint observation of the respective abundances of a set of species in a series of sites, aiming to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Julien Chiquet , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin
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