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Gaussian random fields pervade all areas of science. However, it is often the departures from Gaussianity that carry the crucial signature of the nonlinear mechanisms at the heart of diverse phenomena, ranging from structure formation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 T. H. Beuman , A. M. Turner , V. Vitelli

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

Combining strengths from deep learning and extreme value theory can help describe complex relationships between variables where extreme events have significant impacts (e.g., environmental or financial applications). Neural networks learn…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Mitchell L. Krock , Julie Bessac , Michael L. Stein

Graphity models are characterized by configuration spaces in which states correspond to graphs and Hamiltonians that depend on local properties of graphs such as the degrees of vertices and numbers of short cycles. As statistical systems,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Tomasz Konopka

The impact of an extreme climate event depends strongly on its geographical scale. Max-stable processes can be used for the statistical investigation of climate extremes and their spatial dependencies on a continuous area. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

It is no secret that statistical modelling often involves making simplifying assumptions when attempting to study complex stochastic phenomena. Spatial modelling of extreme values is no exception, with one of the most common such…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-05 Lydia Kakampakou , Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

A growing set of on-line applications are generating data that can be viewed as very large collections of small, dense social graphs -- these range from sets of social groups, events, or collaboration projects to the vast collection of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Johan Ugander , Lars Backstrom , Jon Kleinberg

This paper considers an estimation of semiparametric functional (varying)-coefficient quantile regression with spatial data. A general robust framework is developed that treats quantile regression for spatial data in a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Zudi Lu , Qingguo Tang , Longsheng Cheng

The estimation of regression parameters in spatially referenced data plays a crucial role across various scientific domains. A common approach involves employing an additive regression model to capture the relationship between observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

We show that extremal dynamics is very well modelled by the "Linear Fractional Stable Motion" (LFSM), a stochastic process entirely defined by two exponents that take into account spatio-temporal correlations in the distribution of active…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Krishnamurthy , A. Tanguy , P. Abry , S. Roux

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou

Extreme-value copulas arise in the asymptotic theory for componentwise maxima of independent random samples. An extreme-value copula is determined by its Pickands dependence function, which is a function on the unit simplex subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-30 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

In this paper we propose a semiparametric spatial autoregressive model that combines a linear covariate component with a nonparametrically estimated spatial term, allowing flexible dependence modeling without restrictive covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Mariel Lovatto

In the present paper we consider the varying coefficient model which represents a useful tool for exploring dynamic patterns in many applications. Existing methods typically provide asymptotic evaluation of precision of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-07 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for spectral analysis of stationary random fields, including linear and nonlinear fields. Asymptotic properties of Fourier coefficients and periodograms, including limiting distributions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

Due to complex physical phenomena, the distribution of heavy rainfall events is difficult to model spatially. Physically based numerical models can often provide physically coherent spatial patterns, but may miss some important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Marco Oesting , Philippe Naveau

Model-based geostatistics (MBG) is a subfield of spatial statistics focused on predicting spatially continuous phenomena using data collected at discrete locations. Geostatistical models often rely on the assumptions of stationarity and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-13 Olatunji Johnson , Bedilu A Ejigu , Ezra Gayawan

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying random vector Xis fully described by its limiting spectral measure. In this paper, we investigate how torecover characteristics of the measure, such as extremal coefficients, from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Marco Oesting , Olivier Wintenberger