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The statistical theory of extremes is extended to observations that are non-stationary and not independent. The non-stationarity over time and space is controlled via the scedasis (tail scale) in the marginal distributions. Spatial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 John H. J. Einmahl , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan , Claudia Neves , Chen Zhou

We consider a strictly stationary sequence of random vectors whose finite-dimensional distributions are jointly regularly varying with some positive index. This class of processes includes, among others, ARMA processes with regularly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

The modeling of risk situations that occur in a space-time framework can be done using max-stable random fields on lattices. Although the summary coefficients for the spatial and temporal behaviour do not characterize the finite-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-14 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira , Luís A. Alexandre

We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

This article presents a neural network approach for estimating the covariance function of spatial Gaussian random fields defined in a portion of the Euclidean plane. Our proposal builds upon recent contributions, expanding from the purely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Alejandro Villazón , Alfredo Alegría , Xavier Emery

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

Extreme events, such as wave-storms, need to be characterized for coastal infrastructure design purposes. Such description should contain information on both the univariate behaviour and the joint-dependence of storm-variables. These two…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-15 Jue Lin-Ye , Manuel García-León , Vicente Gràcia , Maribel Ortego , Piero Lionello , Agustín Sanchez-Arcilla

Extreme values modeling has attracting the attention of researchers in diverse areas such as the environment, engineering, or finance. Multivariate extreme value distributions are particularly suitable to model the tails of multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Davis and Mikosch [7] introduced the extremogram as a flexible quantitative tool for measuring various types of extremal dependence in a stationary time series. There we showed some standard statistical properties of the sample extremogram.…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-29 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Ivor Cribben

We study the asymptotic joint distribution of sample space--time covariance estimators of strictly stationary random fields. We do this without any marginal or joint distributional assumptions other than mild moment and mixing conditions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Bo Li , Marc G. Genton , Michael Sherman

Multivariate spatial-statistical models are often used when modeling environmental and socio-demographic processes. The most commonly used models for multivariate spatial covariances assume both stationarity and symmetry for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

The statistical modeling of space-time extremes in environmental applications is key to understanding complex dependence structures in original event data and to generating realistic scenarios for impact models. In this context of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-16 Jean-Noel Bacro , Carlo Gaetan , Thomas Opitz , Gwladys Toulemonde

We present a new technique in order to quantify the dynamics of spatially extended systems. Using a test on the existence of unstable periodic orbits, we identify intermediate spatial scales, wherein the dynamics is characterized by maximum…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 G. Zoeller , R. Engbert , S. Hainzl , J. Kurths

An extremal model for the plasticity of amorphous materials is studied in a simple two-dimensional anti-plane geometry. The steady-state is analyzed through numerical simulations. Long-range spatial and temporal correlations in local slip…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Jean-Christophe Baret , Damien Vandembroucq , Stephane Roux

Multivariate geostatistics is based on modelling all covariances between all possible combinations of two or more variables at any sets of locations in a continuously indexed domain. Multivariate spatial covariance models need to be built…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-10 Noel Cressie , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

The risk of occurrence of atypical phenomena is a cross-cutting concern in several areas, such as engineering, climatology, finance, actuarial, among others. Extreme value theory is the natural tool to approach this theme. Many of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Marta Ferreira , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira

Irregularly sampling a spatially stationary random field does not yield a graph stationary signal in general. Based on this observation, we build a definition of graph stationarity based on intrinsic stationarity, a less restrictive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-26 Alexander Serrano , Benjamin Girault , Antonio Ortega

A closed mathematical model of the statistical self-gravitating system of scalar charged particles for conformal invariant scalar interactions is constructed on the basis of relativistic kinetics and gravitation theory. Asymptotic…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-08-13 Yurii Ignat'ev

Two canonical problems in geostatistics are estimating the parameters in a specified family of stochastic process models and predicting the process at new locations. A number of asymptotic results addressing these problems over a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-11 Cari Kaufman , Benjamin Shaby