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Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Continuous-time trajectory representations are a powerful tool that can be used to address several issues in many practical simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) scenarios, like continuously collected measurements distorted by robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Jing Dong , Byron Boots , Frank Dellaert

A general framework for recovering drift and diffusion dynamics from sampled trajectories is presented for the first time for stochastic delay differential equations. The core relies on the well-established SINDy algorithm for the sparse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Dimitri Breda , Dajana Conte , Raffaele D'Ambrosio , Ida Santaniello , Muhammad Tanveer

In networked dynamical systems, inferring governing parameters is crucial for predicting nodal dynamics, such as gene expression levels, species abundance, or population density. While many parameter estimation techniques rely on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-03-25 Yanna Ding , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

Efficient surrogate modelling is a key requirement for uncertainty quantification in data-driven scenarios. In this work, a novel approach of using Sparse Random Features for surrogate modelling in combination with self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Maternus Herold , Anna Veselovska , Jonas Jehle , Felix Krahmer

Identifying governing equations from data is a critical step in the modeling and control of complex dynamical systems. Here, we investigate the data-driven identification of nonlinear dynamical systems with inputs and forcing using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , J. Nathan Kutz

We present a Bayesian dynamical inference method for characterizing cardiorespiratory (CR) dynamics in humans by inverse modelling from blood pressure time-series data. This new method is applicable to a broad range of stochastic dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. G. Luchinsky , V. N. Smelyanskiy , M. M. Millonas , A. Stefanovska , P. V. E. McClintock

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Hybrid systems are traditionally difficult to identify and analyze using classical dynamical systems theory. Moreover, recently developed model identification methodologies largely focus on identifying a single set of governing equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Niall M Mangan , Travis Askham , Steven L Brunton , J Nathan Kutz , Joshua L Proctor

Digital twins are developed to model the behavior of a specific physical asset (or twin), and they can consist of high-fidelity physics-based models or surrogates. A highly accurate surrogate is often preferred over multi-physics models as…

Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used in supervised machine learning due to its flexibility and inherent ability to describe uncertainty in function estimation. In the context of control, it is seeing increasing use for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Lukas Hewing , Juraj Kabzan , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Identifying the governing equations of a nonlinear dynamical system is key to both understanding the physical features of the system and constructing an accurate model of the dynamics that generalizes well beyond the available data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Peter Y. Lu , Joan Ariño , Marin Soljačić

We present a pragmatic approach to the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics for systems with discrete delays. It relies on approximating the underlying delay model with a system of ordinary differential equations via pseudospectral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Enrico Bozzo , Dimitri Breda , Muhammad Tanveer

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

Stochastic evolution equations describing the dynamics of systems under the influence of both deterministic and stochastic forces are prevalent in all fields of science. Yet, identifying these systems from sparse-in-time observations…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-01-20 Dimitra Maoutsa

The combination of machine learning (ML) and sparsity-promoting techniques is enabling direct extraction of governing equations from data, revolutionizing computational modeling in diverse fields of science and engineering. The discovered…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Mohammad Amin Basiri , Sina Khanmohammadi

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

Traffic flow modeling relies heavily on fundamental diagrams. However, deterministic fundamental diagrams, such as single or multi-regime models, cannot capture the uncertainty pattern that underlies traffic flow. To address this…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-25 Yuan-Zheng Lei , Yaobang Gong , Xianfeng Terry Yang