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The variance measures the portfolio risks the investors are taking. The investor, who holds his portfolio and doesn't trade his shares, at the current time can use the time series of the market trades that were made during the averaging…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-08 Victor Olkhov

This work presents novel extensions for combining two frameworks for quantifying both aleatoric (i.e., irreducible) and epistemic (i.e., reducible) sources of uncertainties in the modeling of engineered systems. The data-consistent (DC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-07 Taylor Roper , Harri Hakula , Troy Butler

This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors. Although conceptually related, our three analyses reveal distinct…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Nick James , Max Menzies

Uncertainty is a pervasive challenge in decision and risk management and it is usually studied by quantification and modeling. Interestingly, engineers and other decision makers usually manage uncertainty with strategies such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Alexander Gutfraind

In recent years, the concepts of ``diversity'' and ``inclusion'' have attracted considerable attention across a range of fields, encompassing both social and biological disciplines. To fully understand these concepts, it is critical to not…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Keita Kinjo

While the Kelly portfolio has many desirable properties, including optimal long-term growth rate, the resulting investment strategy is rather aggressive. In this paper, we suggest a unified approach to the risk assessment of the Kelly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Levon Hakobyan , Sergey Lototsky

We propose a novel approach for domain generalisation (DG) leveraging risk distributions to characterise domains, thereby achieving domain invariance. In our findings, risk distributions effectively highlight differences between training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Toan Nguyen , Kien Do , Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

Understanding the dependencies among financial assets is critical for portfolio optimization. Traditional approaches based on correlation networks often fail to capture the nonlinear and directional relationships that exist in financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Riccardo De Blasis , Luca Galati , Filippo Petroni

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui

We consider the problem of rationalizing choice data by a preference satisfying an arbitrary collection of invariance axioms. Examples of such axioms include quasilinearity, homotheticity, independence-type axioms for mixture spaces,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-09 Peter Caradonna , Christopher P. Chambers

A well-interpretable measure of information has been recently proposed based on a partition obtained by intersecting a random sequence with its moving average. The partition yields disjoint sets of the sequence, which are then ranked…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Linda Ponta , Anna Carbone

We build the time series of optimal realized portfolio weights from high-frequency data and we suggest a novel Dynamic Conditional Weights (DCW) model for their dynamics. DCW is benchmarked against popular model-based and model-free…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo , Alessandro Palandri

In this paper, we study the problem of designing proxies (or portfolios) for various stock market indices based on historical data. We use four different methods for computing market indices, all of which are formulas used in actual stock…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ming-Yang Kao , Stephen R. Tate

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

We propose a novel class of convex risk measures, based on the concept of the Fr\'echet mean, designed in order to handle uncertainty which arises from multiple information sources regarding the risk factors of interest. The proposed risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

The concept of Diversification Return (DR) was introduced by Booth and Fama in 1990s and it has been well studied in the finance literature mainly focusing on the various sources it may be generated. However, unlike the classical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Chao Ding , Houduo Qi

In this paper we analyze the efficiency of various search results diversification methods. While efficacy of diversification approaches has been deeply investigated in the past, response time and scalability issues have been rarely…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2011-05-24 Gabriele Capannini , Franco Maria Nardini , Raffaele Perego , Fabrizio Silvestri

Efforts to apply economic complexity to identify diversification opportunities often rely on diagrams comparing the relatedness and complexity or products, technologies, or industries. Yer, the use of these diagrams is not based on…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-25 Viktor Stojkoski , César A. Hidalgo

We propose a novel approach to infer investors' risk preferences from their portfolio choices, and then use the implied risk preferences to measure the efficiency of investment portfolios. We analyze a dataset spanning a period of six…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 Agostino Capponi , Zhaoyu Zhang
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