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There is an urgent need to build models to tackle Indoor Air Quality issue. Since the model should be accurate and fast, Reduced Order Modelling technique is used to reduce the dimensionality of the problem. The accuracy of the model, that…

Data assimilation (DA) is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications, combining model forecasts with sparse and noisy observations to estimate latent system states. Classical high-dimensional DA methods, such as the ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Martin Andrae , Erik Wikingsson , So Takao , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

We address data assimilation for linear and nonlinear dynamical systems via the so-called \emph{model reference adaptive system}. Continuing our theoretical developments in \cite{Tram_Kaltenbacher_2021}, we deliver the first practical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Benedikt Kaltenbach , Christian Aarset , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

In this paper, we explore the embedding of nonlinear dynamical systems into linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) via the Carleman linearization method. Under dissipative conditions, numerous previous works have established rigorous…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-03 Hsuan-Cheng Wu , Jingyao Wang , Xiantao Li

The Koopman operator provides a powerful framework for representing the dynamics of general nonlinear dynamical systems. However, existing data-driven approaches to learning the Koopman operator rely on batch data. In this work, we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-16 Boya Hou , Sina Sanjari , Nathan Dahlin , Alec Koppel , Subhonmesh Bose

Data assimilation refers to the problem of finding trajectories of a prescribed dynamical model in such a way that the output of the model (usually some function of the model states) follows a given time series of observations. Typically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Jochen Bröcker , Ivan G. Szendro

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West

Deep learning is revolutionizing weather forecasting, with new data-driven models achieving accuracy on par with operational physical models for medium-term predictions. However, these models often lack interpretability, making their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 David Millard , Arielle Carr , Stéphane Gaudreault

Lagrangian data assimilation aims to recover hidden Eulerian flow fields from sparse, indirect observations of moving tracers. This problem is challenging because tracer trajectories are nonlinearly coupled with the underlying flow, making…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Zhongrui Wang , Chuanqi Chen , Jin-Long Wu , Nan Chen

Data assimilation is uniquely challenging in weather forecasting due to the high dimensionality of the employed models and the nonlinearity of the governing equations. Although current operational schemes are used successfully, our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-09 Lea Oljača , Jochen Bröcker , Tobias Kuna

In this article we develop algorithms for data assimilation based upon a computational time dependent stable/unstable splitting. Our particular method is based upon shadowing refinement and synchronization techniques and is motivated by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-31 Bart de Leeuw , Svetlana Dubinkina , Jason Frank , Andrew Steyer , Xuemin Tu , Erik Van Vleck

Agent-based models are a powerful tool for studying the behaviour of complex systems that can be described in terms of multiple, interacting ``agents''. However, because of their inherently discrete and often highly non-linear nature, it is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Daniel Tang

Recently, Koopman operator theory has become a powerful tool for developing linear representations of non-linear dynamical systems. However, existing data-driven applications of Koopman operator theory, including both traditional and deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-17 King Fai Yeh , Paris Flood , William Redman , Pietro Liò

With the increasing penetration of high-frequency sensors across a number of biological and physical systems, the abundance of the resulting observations offers opportunities for higher statistical accuracy of down-stream estimates, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Shushu Zhang , Vivak Patel

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

This article develops a general framework for continuous deterministic data assimilation for semilinear parabolic equations by means of evolution equations. Introducing a nudged model driven by partial observations, the global…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Gianmarco Del Sarto , Matthias Hieber , Filippo Palma , Tarek Zöchling

In this paper we propose a new sequential data assimilation method for non-linear ordinary differential equations with compact state space. The method is designed so that the Lyapunov exponents of the corresponding estimation error dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Jason Frank , Sergiy Zhuk

We propose a scheme for data-driven parameterization of unresolved dimensions of dynamical systems based on the mathematical framework of quantum mechanics and Koopman operator theory. Given a system in which some components of the state…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-09 David Freeman , Dimitrios Giannakis , Joanna Slawinska

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

This paper introduces an extension of generalised filtering for online applications. Generalised filtering refers to data assimilation schemes that jointly infer latent states, learn unknown model parameters, and estimate uncertainty in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mehran H. Z. Bazargani , Szymon Urbas , Adeel Razi , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Karl Friston