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We propose two new conformity scores for conformal prediction, in a general multivariate regression framework. The underlying score functions are based on a covariance analysis of the residuals and the input points. We give theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Iain Henderson , Adrien Mazoyer , Fabrice Gamboa

We prove that a positive proportion of the intervals of any fixed scalar multiple of $\log(X)$ in the dyadic interval $[X,2X]$ contain a prime number. We also show that a positive proportion of the congruence classes modulo $q$ contain a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Naser T. Sardari

Approximate inference techniques are the cornerstone of probabilistic methods based on Gaussian process priors. Despite this, most work approximately optimizes standard divergence measures such as the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Rui Zhang , Christian J. Walder , Edwin V. Bonilla , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

We consider a novel multivariate nonparametric two-sample testing problem where, under the alternative, distributions $P$ and $Q$ are separated in an integral probability metric over functions of bounded total variation (TV IPM). We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Alden Green , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Ryan J. Tibshirani

All the results in this paper are conditional on the Riemann Hypothesis for the L-functions of elliptic curves. Under this assumption, we show that the average analytic rank of all elliptic curves over Q is at most 2, thereby improving a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 D. R. Heath-Brown

Quantile-Quantile (Q-Q) plots are widely used for assessing the distributional similarity between two datasets. Traditionally, Q-Q plots are constructed for univariate distributions, making them less effective in capturing complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-01 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

Let $p, q \in (0, \infty]$ and $\ell_p^m(\ell_q^n)$ be the mixed-norm sequence space of real matrices $x = (x_{i, j})_{i \leq m, j \leq n}$ endowed with the (quasi-)norm $\Vert x \Vert_{p, q} := \big\Vert \big( \Vert (x_{i, j})_{j \leq n}…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Michael Juhos , Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno

Let E be an elliptic curve over Q, and let n=>1. The central object of study of this article is the division field Q(E[n]) that results by adjoining to Q the coordinates of all n-torsion points on E(Q). In particular, we classify all curves…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Enrique Gonzalez-Jimenez , Alvaro Lozano-Robledo

Establishing a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) proves to be a powerful result for a vast number of stochastic models in many application areas of probability theory. The key object of an LDP is the large deviations rate function, from which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Ken R. Duffy , Brendan D. Williamson

An isogeny class of elliptic curves over a finite field is determined by a quadratic Weil polynomial. Gekeler has given a product formula, in terms of congruence considerations involving that polynomial, for the size of such an isogeny…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Jeff Achter , Julia Gordon , Salim Ali Altug

Borell's inequality states the existence of a positive absolute constant $C>0$ such that for every $1\leq p\leq q$ $$ \left(\mathbb E|\langle X, e_n\rangle|^p\right)^\frac{1}{p}\leq\left(\mathbb E|\langle X,…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2025-09-08 David Alonso-Gutiérrez , Luis C. García-Lirola

Let $E$ be an elliptic curve defined over $\mathbb Q$ and $\widetilde{E}_p$ denote the reduction of $E$ modulo a prime $p$ of good reduction for $E$. The divisibility of $|\widetilde{E}_{p}(\mathbb{F}_p)|$ by an integer $m\ge 2$ for a set…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Antigona Pajaziti , Mohammad Sadek

This paper investigates improved testing inferences under a general multivariate elliptical regression model. The model is very flexible in terms of the specification of the mean vector and the dispersion matrix, and of the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-01 T. F. N. Melo , S. L. P. Ferrari , A. G. Patriota

In this paper, we present three remarkable properties of the normal distribution: first that if two independent variables's sum is normally distributed, then each random variable follows a normal distribution (which is referred to as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Eric Benhamou , Beatrice Guez , Nicolas Paris

If the space $\mathcal{Q}$ of quadratic forms in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is splitted in a direct sum $\mathcal{Q}_1\oplus...\oplus \mathcal{Q}_k$ and if $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables of $\mathbb{R}^n$, assume that there exist a real…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Gerard Letac , Jacek Wesołowski

We exploit a result by Nerman which shows that conditional limit theorems hold when a certain monotonicity condition is satisfied. Our main result is an application to vertex degrees in random graphs, where we obtain asymptotic normality…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Svante Janson

The question of testing for equality in distribution between two linear models, each consisting of sums of distinct discrete independent random variables with unequal numbers of observations, has emerged from the biological research. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Giulio Prevedello , Ken R. Duffy

We establish a new comparison between the Legendre transform of the cumulant generating function and the half-space depth of an arbitrary log-concave probability distribution on the real line, that carries on to the multidimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Silouanos Brazitikos , Giorgos Chasapis

A large class of statistics can be formulated as smooth functions of sample means of random vectors. In this paper, we propose a general partial Cram\'{e}r's condition (GPCC) and apply it to establish the validity of the Edgeworth expansion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Yashi Wei , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai

The modularity theorem implies that for every elliptic curve $E /\mathbb{Q}$ there exist rational maps from the modular curve $X_0(N)$ to $E$, where $N$ is the conductor of $E$. These maps may be expressed in terms of pairs of modular…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Michael Griffin , Jonathan Hales