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Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

We consider first the mixed discrete-continuous scheme of observation in multistate models; this is a classical pattern in epidemiology because very often clinical status is assessed at discrete visit times while times of death or other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Daniel Commenges , Anne Gégout-Petit

In light of intense hurricane activity along the U.S. Atlantic coast, attention has turned to understanding both the economic impact and behaviour of these storms. The compound Poisson-lognormal process has been proposed as a model for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-15 Simon Mak , Derek Bingham , Yi Lu

We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

In this paper, we introduce a bivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (BTSFPP) by time-changing the bivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered $\alpha$-stable subordinator. We study its distributional properties and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Ritik Soni , Ashok Kumar Pathak , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Alessandra Meoli

Data on count processes arise in a variety of applications, including longitudinal, spatial and imaging studies measuring count responses. The literature on statistical models for dependent count data is dominated by models built from…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-08 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

The field of risk theory has traditionally focused on ruin-related quantities. In particular, the socalled Expected Discounted Penalty Function has been the object of a thorough study over the years. Although interesting in their own right,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-27 Zied Ben-Salah , Hélène Guérin , Manuel Morales , Hassan Omidi Firouzi

In this note we study the optimal dividend problem for a company whose surplus process, in the absence of dividend payments, evolves as a generalized compound Poisson model in which the counting process is a generalized Poisson process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-26 Chuancun Yin

We suggest a general method for analyzing aggregate insurance claims that arrive according to a very general point process, known in the literature as the order statistic point process, which includes as special cases the classical compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-26 Kristina P. Sendova , Ričardas Zitikis

In this paper we provide a valuation formula for different classes of actuarial and financial contracts which depend on a general loss process, by using the Malliavin calculus. In analogy with the celebrated Black-Scholes formula, we aim at…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Caroline Hillairet , Ying Jiao , Anthony Réveillac

We consider two bivariate models with two-way interactions in context of risk and queueing theory. The two entities interact with each other by providing assistance but otherwise evolve independently. We focus on certain random quantities…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Jevgenijs Ivanovs

A non-homogeneous Poisson cluster model is studied, motivated by insurance applications. The Poisson center process which expresses arrival times of claims, triggers off cluster member processes which correspond to number or amount of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Muneya Matsui

We revisit Schnieper's model, which decomposes incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves into two components: reserves for newly reported claims (true IBNR) and reserves for changes over time in the estimated cost of already reported claims…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Nicolas Baradel

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known L\'evy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Enrico Scalas

Recent models of the insurance risk process use a L\'evy process to generalise the traditional Cram\'er-Lundberg compound Poisson model. This paper is concerned with the behaviour of the distributions of the overshoot and undershoots of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Philip S Griffin , Ross A Maller , Kees van Schaik

By building on a recently introduced genetic-inspired attribute-based conceptual framework for safety risk analysis, we propose a novel methodology to compute construction univariate and bivariate construction safety risk at a situational…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Antoine J. -P. Tixier , Matthew R. Hallowell , Balaji Rajagopalan

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ross A. Maller

In actuarial practice, the usual independence assumptions for the collective risk model are often violated, implying a growing need for considering more general models that incorporate dependence. To this purpose, the present paper studies…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

Standard count models such as the Poisson and Negative Binomial models often fail to capture the large proportion of zero claims commonly observed in insurance data. To address such issue of excessive zeros, zero-inflated and hurdle models…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Hyemin Lee , Dohee Kim , Banghee So , Jae Youn Ahn

In this paper, two parametric probability distributions capable to describe the statistics of X-ray photon detection by a CCD are presented. They are formulated from simple models that account for the pile-up phenomenon, in which two or…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-30 Diego J. R. Sevilla