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Related papers: Learning stochastic filtering

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We propose a stochastic approximation method for approximating the efficient frontier of chance-constrained nonlinear programs. Our approach is based on a bi-objective viewpoint of chance-constrained programs that seeks solutions on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Rohit Kannan , James Luedtke

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a continuous-time Markov chain from noisy observations. We show that the corresponding optimal filter is strictly contracting pathwise, when considered in the Hilbert projective space, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-04 Samuel N. Cohen , Eliana Fausti

We aim at the construction of a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of assigned complexity (number of states of the underlying Markov chain) which best approximates, in Kullback-Leibler divergence rate, a given stationary process. We establish, under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Lorenzo Finesso , Angela Grassi , Peter Spreij

The partially observed linear Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations with low noise in observations is considered. A kernel-type estimators are used for estimation of the quadratic variation of the derivative of the limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Yury A. Kutoyants

Standard maximum likelihood or Bayesian approaches to parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations are not robust to perturbations in the continuous-in-time data. In this paper, we give a rather elementary explanation of this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Sebastian Reich

Bayesian neural networks perform variational inference over the weights however calculation of the posterior distribution remains a challenge. Our work builds on variational inference techniques for bayesian neural networks using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Abhinav Sagar

The problem of nonlinear filtering of a random field observed in the presence of a noise, modeled by a persistent fractional Brownian sheet of Hurst index $(H_1,H_2)$ with $0.5<H_1,H_2<1$, is studied and a suitable version of the Bayes'…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-27 Anna Amirdjanova , Matthew Linn

Stochastic filtering refers to estimating the probability distribution of the latent stochastic process conditioned on the observed measurements in time. In this paper, we introduce a new class of convergent filters that represent the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-27 Zheng Zhao , Juha Sarmavuori

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

The inverse problem of determining parameters in a model by comparing some output of the model with observations is addressed. This is a description for what hat to be done to use the Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter for the Bayesian estimation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Hermann G. Matthies , Alexander Litvinenko , Bojana V. Rosic , Elmar Zander

This paper proposes to develop a new variant of the two-time-scale stochastic approximation to find the roots of two coupled nonlinear operators, assuming only noisy samples of these operators can be observed. Our key idea is to leverage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Thinh T. Doan

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper is considered with joint estimation of state and time-varying noise covariance matrices in non-linear stochastic state space models. We present a variational Bayes and Gaussian filtering based algorithm for efficient computation…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Simo Särkkä Jouni Hartikainen

The models of partially observed linear stochastic differential equations with unknown initial values of the non-observed component are considered in two situations. In the first problem, the initial value is deterministic, and in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Yury A Kutoyants

Gaussian mixtures are a common density representation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. Selecting an appropriate number of Gaussian components, however, is difficult as one has to trade of computational complexity…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-04-02 Marco F. Huber

This paper examines learning the optimal filtering policy, known as the Kalman gain, for a linear system with unknown noise covariance matrices using noisy output data. The learning problem is formulated as a stochastic policy optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-27 Shahriar Talebi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Mehran Mesbahi

We consider the problem of stochastic optimal control, where the state-feedback control policies take the form of a probability distribution and where a penalty on the entropy is added. By viewing the cost function as a Kullback- Leibler…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Marc Lambert , Francis Bach , Silvère Bonnabel

Sampling a target probability distribution with an unknown normalization constant is a fundamental challenge in computational science and engineering. Recent work shows that algorithms derived by considering gradient flows in the space of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M Stuart

Using stochastic gradient search and the optimal filter derivative, it is possible to perform recursive (i.e., online) maximum likelihood estimation in a non-linear state-space model. As the optimal filter and its derivative are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet