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Related papers: Learning stochastic filtering

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The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

We introduce a stochastic approximation method for the solution of an ergodic Kullback-Leibler control problem. A Kullback-Leibler control problem is a Markov decision process on a finite state space in which the control cost is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Joris Bierkens , Bert Kappen

In stochastic variational inference, the variational Bayes objective function is optimized using stochastic gradient approximation, where gradients computed on small random subsets of data are used to approximate the true gradient over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-19 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

The use of low-rank approximation filters in the field of NMR is increasing due to their flexibility and effectiveness. Despite their ability to reduce the Mean Square Error between the processed signal and the true signal is well known,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-10-05 R. Francischello , M. F. Santarelli , A. Flori , L. Menichetti , M. Geppi

This paper deals with the taking into account a given set of realizations as constraints in the Kullback-Leibler minimum principle, which is used as a probabilistic learning algorithm. This permits the effective integration of data into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-09 Christian Soize

Gaussian processes are powerful non-parametric probabilistic models for stochastic functions. However, the direct implementation entails a complexity that is computationally intractable when the number of observations is large, especially…

This paper concerns the approximation of probability measures on $\mathbf{R}^d$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Given an admissible target measure, we show the existence of the best approximation, with respect to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We study the linear filtering problem for systems driven by continuous Gaussian processes with memory described by two parameters. The driving processes have the virtue that they possess stationary increments and simple semimartingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano , Vo Van Anh

Investigating the dynamics of learning in machine learning algorithms is of paramount importance for understanding how and why an approach may be successful. The tools of physics and statistics provide a robust setting for such…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-12-31 Chanju Park , Matteo Favoni , Biagio Lucini , Gert Aarts

We consider the problem of time series forecasting in an adaptive setting. We focus on the inference of state-space models under unknown and potentially time-varying noise variances. We introduce an augmented model in which the variances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

Two nonlinear stochastic complimentary filters are developed on SO(3). They guarantee that errors in the Rodriguez vector and estimates are semi-globally uniformly ultimately bounded in mean square, and they converge to a small neighborhood…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Hashim A. Hashim , Lyndon J. Brown , Kenneth McIsaac

Bayesian inference has many advantages for complex models, but standard Monte Carlo methods for summarizing the posterior can be computationally demanding, and it is attractive to consider optimization-based variational methods. Our work…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-09 Aoxiang Chen , David J. Nott , Linda S. L. Tan

Approximate Bayesian inference is NP-hard. Dagum and Luby defined the Local Variance Bound (LVB) to measure the approximation hardness of Bayesian inference on Bayesian networks, assuming the networks model strictly positive joint…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Haohai Yu , Robert A. van Engelen

In this paper, approximate Linear Minimum Variance (LMV) filters for continuous-discrete state space models are introduced. The filters are obtained by means of a recursive approximation to the predictions for the first two moments of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-18 Juan Carlos Jimenez

Kalman filtering is a widely used framework for Bayesian estimation. The partitioned update Kalman filter applies a Kalman filter update in parts so that the most linear parts of measurements are applied first. In this paper, we generalize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Matti Raitoharju , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Robert Piché

To characterize the Kullback-Leibler divergence and Fisher information in general parametrized hidden Markov models, in this paper, we first show that the log likelihood and its derivatives can be represented as an additive functional of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao , Tianxiao Pang

In this article, we present a general methodology for stochastic control problems driven by the Brownian motion filtration including non-Markovian and non-semimartingale state processes controlled by mutually singular measures. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francys Andrews de Souza

To achieve scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes, we propose a variational approximation based on a family of Gaussian distributions whose covariance matrices have sparse inverse Cholesky (SIC) factors. We combine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Jian Cao , Myeongjong Kang , Felix Jimenez , Huiyan Sang , Florian Schafer , Matthias Katzfuss

We explore the performance of sample average approximation in comparison with several other methods for stochastic optimization when there is information available on the underlying true probability distribution. The methods we evaluate are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Eddie Anderson , Harrison Nguyen

There are numerous contexts where one wishes to describe the state of a randomly evolving system. Effective solutions combine models that quantify the underlying uncertainty with available observational data to form scientifically…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-15 Wonjung Lee , Terry Lyons