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Monitoring binomial proportions across multiple independent streams is a critical challenge in Statistical Process Control (SPC), with applications from manufacturing to cybersecurity. While EWMA charts offer sensitivity to small shifts,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-15 Faruk Muritala , Austin Brown , Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Sherry Ni

We present Kernel-QuantTree Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (KQT-EWMA), a non-parametric change-detection algorithm that combines the Kernel-QuantTree (KQT) histogram and the EWMA statistic to monitor multivariate data streams online.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Michelangelo Olmo Nogara Notarianni , Filippo Leveni , Diego Stucchi , Luca Frittoli , Giacomo Boracchi

We study optimal design of the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart by a proper choice of the smoothing factor and the initial value (headstart) of the decision statistic. The particular problem addressed is that of quickest…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-07 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Motivated by sequential detection of transient signals in high dimensional data stream, we study the performance of EWMA, MA, CUSUM, and GLRT charts for detecting a transient signal in multivariate data streams in terms of the power of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu , David Siegmund

We address the problem of online change detection in multivariate datastreams, and we introduce QuantTree Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (QT-EWMA), a nonparametric change-detection algorithm that can control the expected time before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Luca Frittoli , Diego Carrera , Giacomo Boracchi

The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) control charts have been used in profile monitoring to track drift shifts that occur in a monitored process. We construct Bayesian EWMA and Bayesian CUSUM charts…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Chelsea Mitchell , Abdel-Salam Abdel-Salam , D'Arcy Mays

We consider the online monitoring of multivariate streaming data for changes that are characterized by an unknown subspace structure manifested in the covariance matrix. In particular, we consider the covariance structure changes from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , George V. Moustakides

We develop a mixture procedure to monitor parallel streams of data for a change-point that affects only a subset of them, without assuming a spatial structure relating the data streams to one another. Observations are assumed initially to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Yao Xie , David Siegmund

We study sequential change-point detection procedures based on linear sketches of high-dimensional signal vectors using generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistics. The GLR statistics allow for an unknown post-change mean that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Yang Cao , Andrew Thompson , Meng Wang , Yao Xie

We propose two procedures to detect a change in the mean of high-dimensional online data. One is based on a max-type U-statistic and another is based on a sum-type U-statistic. Theoretical properties of the two procedures are explored in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Jun Li

Classifying streaming data requires the development of methods which are computationally efficient and able to cope with changes in the underlying distribution of the stream, a phenomenon known in the literature as concept drift. We propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-27 Gordon J. Ross , Niall M. Adams , Dimitris K. Tasoulis , David J. Hand

Investigating the problem of setting control limits in the case of parameter uncertainty is more accessible when monitoring the variance because only one parameter has to be estimated. Simply ignoring the induced uncertainty frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 Sven Knoth

We consider the problem of quickest change-point detection where the observations form a first-order autoregressive (AR) process driven by temporally independent standard Gaussian noise. Subject to possible change are both the drift of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-06 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Vasanthan Raghavan

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Nicolas Keriven , Damien Garreau , Iacopo Poli

We first consider the sequential detection of transient signals by generalizing the moving average chart to exponential family and study the false detection probability (FDP) and power of detection (POD) in the steady state. Then windowed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu

Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average, MEWMA, charts are popular, handy and effective procedures to detect distributional changes in a stream of multivariate data. For doing appropriate performance analysis, dealing with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Sven Knoth

We consider detecting change points in the correlation structure of streaming data with minimum assumptions posed on the underlying data distribution. Detection statistics are constructed for dense and sparse change settings, based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Jie Gao , Liyan Xie , Zhaoyuan Li

Model change detection is studied, in which there are two sets of samples that are independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) according to a pre-change probabilistic model with parameter $\theta$, and a post-change model with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-21 Yuheng Bu , Jiaxun Lu , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Detecting change points sequentially in a streaming setting, especially when both the mean and the variance of the signal can change, is often a challenging task. A key difficulty in this context often involves setting an appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Nauman Ahad , Mark A. Davenport , Yao Xie

We present a real-time multivariate anomaly detection algorithm for data streams based on the Probabilistic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (PEWMA). Our formulation is resilient to (abrupt transient, abrupt distributional, and gradual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Kenneth Odoh
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