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We provide systematic evidence on the potential for estimating household well-being from mobile phone data. Using data from four countries - Afghanistan, Cote d'Ivoire, Malawi, and Togo - we conduct parallel, standardized machine learning…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-04 M. Merritt Smith , Emily Aiken , Joshua E. Blumenstock , Sveta Milusheva

The rigorous evaluation of anti-poverty programs is key to the fight against global poverty. Traditional evaluation approaches rely heavily on repeated in-person field surveys to measure changes in economic well-being and thus program…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-27 Luna Yue Huang , Solomon Hsiang , Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Varun Kshirsagar , Jerzy Wieczorek , Sharada Ramanathan , Rachel Wells

Recent studies have shown the value of mobile phone data to tackle problems related to economic development and humanitarian action. In this research, we assess the suitability of indicators derived from mobile phone data as a proxy for…

Recently, mobile operators in many developing economies have launched "Mobile Money" platforms that deliver basic financial services over the mobile phone network. While many believe that these services can improve the lives of the poor, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Muhammad Raza Khan , Joshua E. Blumenstock

Machine learning-based estimates of poverty and wealth are increasingly being used to guide the targeting of humanitarian aid and the allocation of social assistance. However, the ground truth labels used to train these models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Satej Soman , Emily Aiken , Esther Rolf , Joshua Blumenstock

High quality census data are not always available in developing countries. Instead, mobile phone data are becoming a trending proxy to evaluate population density, activity and social characteristics. They offer additional advantages for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-18 Hadrien Salat , Zbigniew Smoreda , Markus Schläpfer

Poverty maps are essential tools for governments and NGOs to track socioeconomic changes and adequately allocate infrastructure and services in places in need. Sensor and online crowd-sourced data combined with machine learning methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Lisette Espín-Noboa , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

In many developing nations, a lack of poverty data prevents critical humanitarian organizations from responding to large-scale crises. Currently, socioeconomic surveys are the only method implemented on a large scale for organizations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Om Shah , Krti Tallam

Determining the poverty levels of various regions throughout the world is crucial in identifying interventions for poverty reduction initiatives and directing resources fairly. However, reliable data on global economic livelihoods is hard…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Varun Chitturi , Zaid Nabulsi

Do today's communication technologies hold potential to alleviate poverty? The mobile phone's accessibility and use allows us with an unprecedented volume of data on social interactions, mobility and more. Can this data help us better…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Neeti Pokhriyal , Wen Dong , Venu Govindaraju

Poverty prediction models are used to address missing data issues in a variety of contexts such as poverty profiling, targeting with proxy-means tests, cross-survey imputations such as poverty mapping, top and bottom incomes studies, or…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Paolo Verme

The mapping of populations socio-economic well-being is highly constrained by the logistics of censuses and surveys. Consequently, spatially detailed changes across scales of days, weeks, or months, or even year to year, are difficult to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-31 Abdullah Almaatouq , Francisco Prieto-Castrillo , Alex Pentland

This study provides the first confirmation that individual employment status can be predicted from standard mobile phone network logs externally validated with household survey data. Individual welfare and households vulnerability to shocks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-12-13 Pål Sundsøy , Johannes Bjelland , Bjørn-Atle Reme , Eaman Jahani , Erik Wetter , Linus Bengtsson

Traditional sources of population data, such as censuses and surveys, are costly, infrequent, and often unavailable in crisis-affected regions. Mobile phone application data offer near real-time, high-resolution insights into population…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-04 Carmen Cabrera , Francisco Rowe

Reliable statistical information is important to make political decisions on a sound basis and to help measure the impact of policies. Unfortunately, statistics offices in developing countries have scarce resources and statistical censuses…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-09-19 Thoralf Gutierrez , Gautier Krings , Vincent D. Blondel

Globally, two billion people and more than half of the poorest adults do not use formal financial services. Consequently, there is increased emphasis on developing financial technology that can facilitate access to financial products for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-30 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo , Carlos Sarraute , Bart Baesens , Jan Vanthienen

Up-to-date poverty maps are an important tool for policy makers, but until now, have been prohibitively expensive to produce. We propose a generalizable prediction methodology to produce poverty maps at the village level using geospatial…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Kamwoo Lee , Jeanine Braithwaite

The combination of high-resolution satellite imagery and machine learning have proven useful in many sustainability-related tasks, including poverty prediction, infrastructure measurement, and forest monitoring. However, the accuracy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Kumar Ayush , Burak Uzkent , Kumar Tanmay , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

Recent advances in deep learning have enabled the inference of urban socioeconomic characteristics from satellite imagery. However, models relying solely on urbanization traits often show weak correlations with poverty indicators, as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Sungwon Park , Sumin Lee , Jihee Kim , Jae-Gil Lee , Meeyoung Cha , Jeasurk Yang , Donghyun Ahn
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