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Traditional statistical theory assumes that the analysis to be performed on a given data set is selected independently of the data themselves. This assumption breaks downs when data are re-used across analyses and the analysis to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Adam Smith

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

We study counting statistics of number of transitions in a stochastic process. For mesoscopic systems, a path integral formulation for the counting statistics has already been derived. We here show that it is also possible to derive the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-07-21 Jun Ohkubo

Large deviation functions contain information on the stability and response of systems driven into nonequilibrium steady states, and in such a way are similar to free energies for systems at equilibrium. As with equilibrium free energies,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-25 Ushnish Ray , Garnet Kin-Lic Chan , David T. Limmer

Transition path sampling is a rare-event method that estimates state-to-state timecorrelation functions in many-body systems from samples of short trajectories. In this framework, it is proposed to bias the importance function using the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-03-13 Manuel Athènes , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Thomas Jourdan

Rectified flow (Liu et al., 2022; Liu, 2022; Wu et al., 2023) is a method for defining a transport map between two distributions, and enjoys popularity in machine learning, although theoretical results supporting the validity of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Gonzalo Mena , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Larry Wasserman

Current statistics can be calculated in various ways. Event-based approaches use the statistics of the number of events occuring during a given time. Time-based approaches use the statistics of the time needed to reach a given number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Massimiliano Esposito , Katja Lindenberg , Igor M. Sokolov

Determining the kinetic bottlenecks that make transitions between metastable states difficult is key to understanding important physical problems like crystallization, chemical reactions, or protein folding. In all these phenomena, the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-03 Peilin Kang , Enrico Trizio , Michele Parrinello

Control of complex turbulent dynamical systems involving strong nonlinearity and high degrees of internal instability is an important topic in practice. Different from traditional methods for controlling individual trajectories, controlling…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Jeffrey Covington , Di Qi , Nan Chen

Most sampling techniques for online social networks (OSNs) are based on a particular sampling method on a single graph, which is referred to as a statistics. However, various realizing methods on different graphs could possibly be used in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Xin Wang , Richard T. B. Ma , Yinlong Xu , Zhipeng Li

We propose a family of lagged random walk sampling methods in simple undirected graphs, where transition to the next state (i.e. node) depends on both the current and previous states -- hence, lagged. The existing random walk sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Li-Chun Zhang

The gap in statistics between multi-variate and time-series analysis can be bridged by using entropy statistics and recent developments in multi-dimensional scaling. For explaining the evolution of the sciences as non-linear dynamics, the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Loet Leydesdorff

After collecting data from observations or experiments, the next step is to build an appropriate mathematical or stochastic model to describe the data so that further studies can be done with the help of the models. In this article, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 A. M. Mathai , H. J. Haubold

We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

In empirical studies of random walks, continuous trajectories of animals or individuals are usually sampled over a finite number of points in space and time. It is however unclear how this partial observation affects the measured…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-13 Riccardo Gallotti , Rémi Louf , Jean-Marc Luck , Marc Barthelemy

The utilization of statistical methods an their applications within the new field of study known as Topological Data Analysis has has tremendous potential for broadening our exploration and understanding of complex, high-dimensional data…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-19 Patrick S. Medina , R. W. Doerge

Probabilistic sampling methods have become very popular to solve single-shot path planning problems. Rapidly-exploring Random Trees (RRTs) in particular have been shown to be very efficient in solving high dimensional problems. Even though…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-12-03 Nicolas A. Barriga , Mauricio Araya-López , Mauricio Solar

This paper introduces a probabilistic approach for tracking the dynamics of unweighted and directed graphs using state-space models (SSMs). Unlike conventional topology inference methods that assume static graphs and generate point-wise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Victor M. Tenorio , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus , Antonio G. Marques

Temporal causal representation learning methods assume that causal mechanisms switch instantaneously between discrete domains, yet real-world systems often exhibit continuous mechanism transitions. For example, a vehicle's dynamics evolve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Shicheng Fan , Kun Zhang , Lu Cheng

Conventional statistics begins with a model, and assigns a likelihood of obtaining any particular set of data. The opposite approach, beginning with the data and assigning a likelihood to any particular model, is explored here for the case…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-30 Timothy E. Holy
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