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For both investors and policymakers, forecasting the stock market is essential as it serves as an indicator of economic well-being. To this end, we harness the power of social media data, a rich source of public sentiment, to enhance the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu , Taoran Ji

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for trading and investment decision-making. This study introduces an adaptive retrieval augmented framework for Large Language Models (LLMs) that aligns with human instructions through Instruction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Zijie Zhao , Roy E. Welsch

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

Alpha factor mining is a fundamental task in quantitative trading, aimed at discovering interpretable signals that can predict asset returns beyond systematic market risk. While traditional methods rely on manual formula design or heuristic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Lang Cao

Alphas are stock prediction models capturing trading signals in a stock market. A set of effective alphas can generate weakly correlated high returns to diversify the risk. Existing alphas can be categorized into two classes: Formulaic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Can Cui , Wei Wang , Meihui Zhang , Gang Chen , Zhaojing Luo , Beng Chin Ooi

Our work focuses on deep learning (DL) portfolio optimization, tackling challenges in long-only, multi-asset strategies across market cycles. We propose training models with limited regime data using pre-training techniques and leveraging…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-14 Brandon Luo , Jim Skufca

Alpha mining, a critical component in quantitative investment, focuses on discovering predictive signals for future asset returns in increasingly complex financial markets. However, the pervasive issue of alpha decay, where factors lose…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Ziyi Tang , Zechuan Chen , Jiarui Yang , Jiayao Mai , Yongsen Zheng , Keze Wang , Jinrui Chen , Liang Lin

It is a challenging task to predict financial markets. The complexity of this task is mainly due to the interaction between financial markets and market participants, who are not able to keep rational all the time, and often affected by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-09 Jia Wang , Hongwei Zhu , Jiancheng Shen , Yu Cao , Benyuan Liu

Financial sentiment analysis is critical for valuation and investment decision-making. Traditional NLP models, however, are limited by their parameter size and the scope of their training datasets, which hampers their generalization…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Boyu Zhang , Hongyang Yang , Tianyu Zhou , Ali Babar , Xiao-Yang Liu

Modern quantitative trading increasingly relies on systematic models to extract predictive signals from large-scale financial data, where alpha factor discovery plays a central role in transforming market observations into tradable signals.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Lingzhe Zhang , Tong Jia , Yunpeng Zhai , Zixuan Xie , Chiming Duan , Minghua He , Philip S. Yu , Ying Li

Large language models (LLMs) achieve strong performance across benchmarks--from knowledge quizzes and math reasoning to web-agent tasks--but these tests occur in static settings, lacking real dynamics and uncertainty. Consequently, they…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-06 Haofei Yu , Fenghai Li , Jiaxuan You

It is reported that financial news, especially financial events expressed in news, provide information to investors' long/short decisions and influence the movements of stock markets. Motivated by this, we leverage financial event streams…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Xianchao Wu

Stock market prediction has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades owing to its inherent high volatility and low information noisy ratio. Existing solutions based on machine learning or deep learning demonstrate superior…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Zhaojian Yu , Yinghao Wu , Genesis Wang , Heming Weng

Accurate stock market prediction provides great opportunities for informed decision-making, yet existing methods struggle with financial data's non-linear, high-dimensional, and volatile characteristics. Advanced predictive models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-20 Yuxi Hong

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng

We seek to democratise public-opinion research by providing practitioners with a general methodology to make representative inference from cheap, high-frequency, highly unrepresentative samples. We focus specifically on samples which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Roberto Cerina , Raymond Duch

Traditionally, traders and quantitative analysts address alpha decay by manually crafting formulaic alphas, mathematical expressions that identify patterns or signals in financial data, through domain expertise and trial-and-error. This…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen , Hiroaki Kawashima

The complexity of financial data, characterized by its variability and low signal-to-noise ratio, necessitates advanced methods in quantitative investment that prioritize both performance and interpretability.Transitioning from early manual…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-13 Hao Shi , Weili Song , Xinting Zhang , Jiahe Shi , Cuicui Luo , Xiang Ao , Hamid Arian , Luis Seco