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To cater the rapidly growing demand for electricity leading to the integration of renewable energy sources in power system. Due to intermittent nature of renewables, it also brings challenges for research community during the planning and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-14 Rustam Kumar

The computational cost as well as the probabilistic skill of ensemble forecasts depends on the spatial resolution of the numerical weather prediction model and the ensemble size. Periodically, e.g. when more computational resources become…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-17 Sándor Baran , Martin Leutbecher , Marianna Szabó , Zied Ben Bouallègue

The use of residential photovoltaics has increased dramatically in recent years. With battery systems becoming more affordable, the optimal operation of a photovoltaic-battery system can bring significant savings to households. Optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Joris Depoortere , Hussain Kazmi , Johan Driesen

Prediction models are traditionally optimized independently from their use in the asset allocation decision-making process. We address this shortcoming and present a framework for integrating regression prediction models in a mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-01 Andrew Butler , Roy H. Kwon

Predictive combinatorial optimization, where the parameters of combinatorial optimization (CO) are unknown at the decision-making time, is the precise modeling of many real-world applications, including energy cost-aware scheduling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Haoyu Geng , Hang Ruan , Runzhong Wang , Yang Li , Yang Wang , Lei Chen , Junchi Yan

Large-scale distributed computing systems often contain thousands of distributed nodes (machines). Monitoring the conditions of these nodes is important for system management purposes, which, however, can be extremely resource demanding as…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Tiffany Tuor , Shiqiang Wang , Kin K. Leung , Bong Jun Ko

A distributed model predictive control (DMPC) approach based on distributed optimization is applied to the power reference tracking problem of a hydro power valley (HPV) system. The applied optimization algorithm is based on accelerated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Minh Dang Doan , Pontus Giselsson , Tamás Keviczky , Bart De Schutter , Anders Rantzer

Accurate intraday forecasts of the power output by PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems are critical to improve the operation of energy distribution grids. We describe a neural autoregressive model that aims to perform such intraday forecasts. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Pierrick Bruneau , David Fiorelli , Christian Braun , Daniel Koster

To be able to produce accurate and reliable predictions of visibility has crucial importance in aviation meteorology, as well as in water- and road transportation. Nowadays, several meteorological services provide ensemble forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-25 Sándor Baran , Mária Lakatos

Despite the recent rapid adoption of rooftop solar PV for residential customers, islanded operation during grid outages remains elusive for most PV owners. In this paper we consider approaches to improve the reliability of electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Abdulelah H. Habib , Elizabeth L Ratnam , Vahid R. Disfani , Jan Kleissl , Raymond A. de Callafon

When inverting solar spectra, image degradation effects that are present in the data are usually approximated or not considered. We develop a data reduction method that takes these issues into account and minimizes the resulting errors. By…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. van Noort

Accurate forecasts for day-ahead photovoltaic (PV) power generation are crucial to support a high PV penetration rate in the local electricity grid and to assure stability in the grid. We use state-of-the-art tree-based machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Nick Berlanger , Noah van Ophoven , Tim Verdonck , Ines Wilms

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

We demonstrate that the forecasting combination puzzle is a consequence of the methodology commonly used to produce forecast combinations. By the combination puzzle, we refer to the empirical finding that predictions formed by combining…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-11 David T. Frazier , Ryan Covey , Gael M. Martin , Donald Poskitt

The paper presents a predictive control method for the water distribution networks (WDNs) powered by photovoltaics (PVs) and the electrical grid. This builds on the controller introduced in a previous study and is designed to reduce the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-04 Mirhan Ürkmez , Carsten Kallesøe , Jan Dimon Bendtsen , John Leth

The extensive penetration of wind farms (WFs) presents challenges to the operation of distribution networks (DNs). Building a probability distribution of the aggregated wind power forecast error is of great value for decision making.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-12-19 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhiwen Wang

This paper presents a control strategy for sun trackers which adapts continuously to different sources of error, avoiding the necessity of any kind of calibration by analyzing the produced electric power to sense the position of the Sun.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Manuel G. Satué , Fernando Castaño , Manuel G. Ortega , Francisco R. Rubio

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Regional solar power forecasting, which involves predicting the total power generation from all rooftop photovoltaic systems in a region holds significant importance for various stakeholders in the energy sector. However, the vast amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Damith Senanayake , Saman Halgamuge

Modern Giant Segmented Mirror Telescopes (GSMTs) like the Extremely Large Telescope, which is currently under construction, depend heavily on Adaptive Optics (AO) systems to correct for atmospheric distortions. However, a residual blur…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-05 Roland Wagner , Jenny Niebsch , Ronny Ramlau