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Electricity consumption forecasting has vital importance for the energy planning of a country. Of the enabling machine learning models, support vector regression (SVR) has been widely used to set up forecasting models due to its superior…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Yukun Bao , Liang Shen , Xiaoyuan Zhang , Yanmei Huang , Changrui Deng

In recent works by Yang et al. (2017a,b), and Yagli et al. (2019), geographical, temporal, and sequential deterministic reconciliation of hierarchical photovoltaic (PV) power generation have been considered for a simulated PV dataset in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-16 Tommaso Di Fonzo , Daniele Girolimetto

Statistical post-processing techniques are now widely used to correct systematic biases and errors in calibration of ensemble forecasts obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models. A standard approach is the ensemble…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Sándor Baran , Sebastian Lerch

Distributed generation (DG) units are power generating plants that are very important to the architecture of present power system networks. The benefit of the addition of these DG units is to increase the power supply to a network. However,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Kayode Adetunji , Ivan Hofsajer , Ling Cheng

Accurate PhotoVoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting is vital for the efficient operation of Smart Grids. The automated design of such accurate forecasting models for individual PV plants includes two challenges: First, information about…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Stefan Meisenbacher , Benedikt Heidrich , Tim Martin , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

The ability to accurately forecast power generation from renewable sources is nowadays recognised as a fundamental skill to improve the operation of power systems. Despite the general interest of the power community in this topic, it is not…

This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the social and environmental determinants of solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment rates in Colorado, USA. Using 652,795 satellite imagery and computer vision frameworks based on a convolutional…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Serena Y. Kim , Koushik Ganesan , Crystal Soderman , Raven O'Rourke

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

Real-time trajectory planning for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in dynamic environments remains a key challenge due to high computational demands and the need for fast, adaptive responses. Traditional Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Minze Li , Wei Zhao , Ran Chen , Mingqiang Wei

We propose a fully probabilistic prediction model for spatially aggregated solar photovoltaic (PV) power production at an hourly time scale with lead times up to several days using weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction systems…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

Forecast combination is widely recognized as a preferred strategy over forecast selection due to its ability to mitigate the uncertainty associated with identifying a single "best" forecast. Nonetheless, sophisticated combinations are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-17 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Feng Li

In this study we address existing deficiencies in the literature on applications of Particle Swarm Optimization to generate optimal designs. We present the results of a large computer study in which we bench-mark both efficiency and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Stephen J. Walsh , John J. Borkowski

Due to the increasing proportion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) production in the generation mix, the knowledge of the PV generation capacity has become a key factor. In this work, we propose to compute the PV plant maximum power starting…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Enrica Scolari , Fabrizio Sossan , Mario Paolone

Reliable forecasts of the power output from variable renewable energy generators like solar photovoltaic systems are important to balancing load on real-time electricity markets and ensuring electricity supply reliability. However, solar PV…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Andea Scott , Sindhu Sreedhara , Folasade Ayoola

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-26 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Nhu Tran , Mahdi Motalleb , Elham Foruzan

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in edge-enabled grids requires balancing forecasting accuracy, robustness under weather-driven distribution shifts, and strict latency constraints. Existing models work well under normal conditions but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Nan Qiao , Shuning Wang , Sijing Duan , Wenpeng Cui , Yuzhe Chen , Qingchen Yang , Xingyuan Hua , Ju Ren

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

Many residential energy consumers have installed photovoltaic (PV) panels and energy storage systems. These residential users can aggregate and participate in the energy markets. A stochastic decision making model for an aggregation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Hossein Khazaei , Ramin Moslemi , Ratnesh Sharma

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh

As the number of rooftop photovoltaic (PV) installations increases, aggregators and system operators are required to monitor and analyze these systems, raising the challenge of integration and management of large, spatially distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Kutay Bölat , Tarek Alskaif , Peter Palensky , Simon Tindemans