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Structural equation models (SEMs) and vector autoregressive models (VARMs) are two broad families of approaches that have been shown useful in effective brain connectivity studies. While VARMs postulate that a given region of interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-21 Yanning Shen , Brian Baingana , Georgios B. Giannakis

This paper studies multi-horizon Granger causality using high-dimensional local projections in sparse Vector Autoregressive (VAR) systems. Since local projection coefficients are nonlinear transformations of the underlying VAR parameters,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Eugene Dettaa , Endong Wang

Large-scale neuroimaging studies have been collecting brain images of study individuals, which take the form of two-dimensional, three-dimensional, or higher dimensional arrays, also known as tensors. Addressing scientific questions arising…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-23 Xiaoshan Li , Hua Zhou , Lexin Li

Modelling time-varying and frequency-specific relationships between two brain signals is becoming an essential methodological tool to answer heoretical questions in experimental neuroscience. In this article, we propose to estimate a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-16 Sezen Cekic , Didier Grandjean , Olivier Renaud

Granger Causality (GC) offers an elegant statistical framework to study the association between multivariate time series data. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are simple and easy to fit, but have limited application because of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao , Maurizio Filippone

In this paper we test for Granger causality in high-dimensional vector autoregressive models (VARs) to disentangle and interpret the complex causal chains linking radiative forcings and global temperatures. By allowing for high…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-04 Marina Friedrich , Luca Margaritella , Stephan Smeekes

Complex systems, such as brains, markets, and societies, exhibit internal dynamics influenced by external factors. Disentangling delayed external effects from internal dynamics within these systems is often challenging. We propose using a…

Network modeling of high-dimensional time series data is a key learning task due to its widespread use in a number of application areas, including macroeconomics, finance and neuroscience. While the problem of sparse modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Sumanta Basu , Xianqi Li , George Michailidis

We develop a Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) model with multivariate stochastic volatility that is capable of handling vast dimensional information sets. Three features are introduced to permit reliable estimation of the model. First,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-12 Gregor Kastner , Florian Huber

Tensor-based representations are being increasingly used to represent complex data types such as imaging data, due to their appealing properties such as dimension reduction and the preservation of spatial information. Recently, there is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-15 Rongke Lyu , Marina Vannucci , Suprateek Kundu

Temporal causal analysis means understanding the underlying causes behind observed variables over time. Deep learning based methods such as transformers are increasingly used to capture temporal dynamics and causal relationships beyond mere…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Riya Mahesh , Rahul Vashisht , Chandrashekar Lakshminarayanan

Granger causality has been widely used in various application domains to capture lead-lag relationships amongst the components of complex dynamical systems, and the focus in extant literature has been on a single dynamical system. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Jiahe Lin , Huitian Lei , George Michailidis

In this paper we construct an inferential procedure for Granger causality in high-dimensional non-stationary vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Our method does not require knowledge of the order of integration of the time series under…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-18 Alain Hecq , Luca Margaritella , Stephan Smeekes

Our goal is to model and measure functional and effective (directional) connectivity in multichannel brain physiological signals (e.g., electroencephalograms, local field potentials). The difficulties from analyzing these data mainly come…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-04 Lechuan Hu , Norbert Fortin , Hernando Ombao

Brain activation and connectivity analyses in task-based functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) experiments with multiple subjects are currently at the forefront of data-driven neuroscience. In such experiments, interest often lies in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-02 Daniel Spencer , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Raquel Prado

Tensor regression models, such as CP regression and Tucker regression, have many successful applications in neuroimaging analysis where the covariates are of ultrahigh dimensionality and possess complex spatial structures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Da Xu

Causal structure discovery in complex dynamical systems is an important challenge for many scientific domains. Although data from (interventional) experiments is usually limited, large amounts of observational time series data sets are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Bart Bussmann , Jannes Nys , Steven Latré

Neural processes in the brain operate at a range of temporal scales. Granger causality, the most widely-used neuroscientific tool for inference of directed functional connectivity from neurophsyiological data, is traditionally deployed in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-17 Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

This paper proposes novel inferential procedures for discovering the network Granger causality in high-dimensional vector autoregressive models. In particular, we mainly offer two multiple testing procedures designed to control the false…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Yoshimasa Uematsu , Takashi Yamagata

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been widely used for modeling temporal dependence in a multivariate time series. For large (and even moderate) dimensions, the number of AR coefficients can be prohibitively large, resulting in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-21 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng