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Related papers: Performance Prediction Under Dataset Shift

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Sampling biases can cause distribution shifts between train and test datasets for supervised learning tasks, obscuring our ability to understand the generalization capacity of a model. This is especially important considering the wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Max Vargas , Adam Tsou , Andrew Engel , Tony Chiang

Pedestrian crossing prediction has been a topic of active research, resulting in many new algorithmic solutions. While measuring the overall progress of those solutions over time tends to be more and more established due to the new publicly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Joseph Gesnouin , Steve Pechberti , Bogdan Stanciulescu , Fabien Moutarde

There has been significant research done on developing methods for improving robustness to distributional shift and uncertainty estimation. In contrast, only limited work has examined developing standard datasets and benchmarks for…

Performance monitoring is essential for safe clinical deployment of image classification models. However, because ground-truth labels are typically unavailable in the target dataset, direct assessment of real-world model performance is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Tim Flühmann , Alceu Bissoto , Trung-Dung Hoang , Lisa M. Koch

Evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift remains an open challenge. Existing metrics quantify the average decline in performance, but fail to capture how models adapt to evolving data. As a result, temporal degradation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Lorenzo Iovine , Giacomo Ziffer , Emanuele Della Valle

Machine learning (ML) prediction APIs are increasingly widely used. An ML API can change over time due to model updates or retraining. This presents a key challenge in the usage of the API because it is often not clear to the user if and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-30 Lingjiao Chen , Tracy Cai , Matei Zaharia , James Zou

Recent work has shown that the performance of machine learning models can vary substantially when models are evaluated on data drawn from a distribution that is close to but different from the training distribution. As a result, predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Devin Guillory , Vaishaal Shankar , Sayna Ebrahimi , Trevor Darrell , Ludwig Schmidt

In this work, we propose ModelPred, a framework that helps to understand the impact of changes in training data on a trained model. This is critical for building trust in various stages of a machine learning pipeline: from cleaning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Yingyan Zeng , Jiachen T. Wang , Si Chen , Hoang Anh Just , Ran Jin , Ruoxi Jia

Distributional shift, or the mismatch between training and deployment data, is a significant obstacle to the usage of machine learning in high-stakes industrial applications, such as autonomous driving and medicine. This creates a need to…

Machine learning (ML) models frequently experience performance degradation when deployed in new contexts. Such degradation is rarely uniform: some subgroups may suffer large performance decay while others may not. Understanding where and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Harvineet Singh , Fan Xia , Alexej Gossmann , Andrew Chuang , Julian C. Hong , Jean Feng

Over the past decades, researchers and ML practitioners have come up with better and better ways to build, understand and improve the quality of ML models, but mostly under the key assumption that the training data is distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Yeounoh Chung , Peter J. Haas , Eli Upfal , Tim Kraska

We might hope that when faced with unexpected inputs, well-designed software systems would fire off warnings. Machine learning (ML) systems, however, which depend strongly on properties of their inputs (e.g. the i.i.d. assumption), tend to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Stephan Rabanser , Stephan Günnemann , Zachary C. Lipton

State-of-the-art link prediction (LP) models demonstrate impressive benchmark results. However, popular benchmark datasets often assume that training, validation, and testing samples are representative of the overall dataset distribution.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Jay Revolinsky , Harry Shomer , Jiliang Tang

A trained ML model is deployed on another `test' dataset where target feature values (labels) are unknown. Drift is distribution change between the training and deployment data, which is concerning if model performance changes. For a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-07 Samuel Ackerman , Eitan Farchi , Orna Raz , Marcel Zalmanovici , Parijat Dube

Despite continued efforts to improve classification accuracy, it has been reported that offline accuracy is a poor indicator of the usability of pattern recognition-based myoelectric control. One potential source of this disparity is the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-15 Shriram Tallam Puranam Raghu , Dawn T. MacIsaac , Erik J. Scheme

Concept shift occurs when the distribution of labels conditioned on the features changes between domains, which can make even a well-tuned ML model miscalibrated on a new domain. Identifying these shifted features provides unique insight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Ruiqi Lyu , Alistair Turcan , Bryan Wilder

Large language models are increasingly deployed across diverse applications. This often includes tasks LLMs have not encountered during training. This implies that enumerating and obtaining the high-quality training data for all tasks is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Shambhavi Krishna , Atharva Naik , Chaitali Agarwal , Sudharshan Govindan , Taesung Lee , Haw-Shiuan Chang

Transfer learning is a widely used method to build high performing computer vision models. In this paper, we study the efficacy of transfer learning by examining how the choice of data impacts performance. We find that more pre-training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-13 Jiquan Ngiam , Daiyi Peng , Vijay Vasudevan , Simon Kornblith , Quoc V. Le , Ruoming Pang

We present a parameterized synthetic dataset called Moving Symbols to support the objective study of video prediction networks. Using several instantiations of the dataset in which variation is explicitly controlled, we highlight issues in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-23 Ryan Szeto , Simon Stent , German Ros , Jason J. Corso

Deep learning models are widely used across computer vision and other domains. When working on the model induction, selecting the right architecture for a given dataset often relies on repetitive trial-and-error procedures. This procedure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yen-Chia Chen , Hsing-Kuo Pao , Hanjuan Huang