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Tremendous recent literature show that associations between different brain regions, i.e., brain connectivity, provide early symptoms of neurological disorders. Despite significant efforts made for graph neural network (GNN) techniques,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Xin Ma , Guorong Wu , Seong Jae Hwang , Won Hwa Kim

Trajectory prediction is critical for applications of planning safe future movements and remains challenging even for the next few seconds in urban mixed traffic. How an agent moves is affected by the various behaviors of its neighboring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Hao Cheng , Wentong Liao , Michael Ying Yang , Bodo Rosenhahn , Monika Sester

Disease progression modeling (DPM) involves using mathematical frameworks to quantitatively measure the severity of how certain disease progresses. DPM is useful in many ways such as predicting health state, categorizing disease stages, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Zicong Zhang , Changchang Yin , Ping Zhang

The era of big data has made vast amounts of clinical data readily available, particularly in the form of electronic health records (EHRs), which provides unprecedented opportunities for developing data-driven diagnostic tools to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Zekai Wang , Tieming Liu , Bing Yao

Summary 1. Infectious disease outbreaks in plants threaten ecosystems, agricultural crops and food trade. Currently, several fungal diseases are affecting forests worldwide, posing a major risk to tree species, habitats and consequently…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-18 S. Orozco-Fuentes , G. Griffiths , M. J. Holmes , R. Ettelaie , J. Smith , A. W. Baggaley , N. G. Parker

The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving ("adaptive") networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Assimakis A. Kattis , Alexander Holiday , Ana-Andreea Stoica , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Population-level disease prediction estimates the number of potential patients of particular diseases in some location at a future time based on (frequently updated) historical disease statistics. Existing approaches often assume the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Junyi Gao , Cao Xiao , Lucas M. Glass , Jimeng Sun

Forecasting infectious disease outbreaks is hard. Forecasting emerging infectious diseases with limited historical data is even harder. In this paper, we investigate ways to improve emerging infectious disease forecasting under operational…

The systematic study of large-scale networks has unveiled the ubiquitous presence of connectivity patterns characterized by large scale heterogeneities and unbounded statistical fluctuations. These features affect dramatically the behavior…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Vittoria Colizza , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy , Alessandro Vespignani

Deep neural networks have become the method of choice for solving many classification tasks, largely because they can fit very complex functions defined over raw data. The downside of such powerful learners is the danger of overfit. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Uri Stern , Daniel Shwartz , Daphna Weinshall

Estimating population-level prevalence and transmission dynamics of wildlife pathogens can be challenging, partly because surveillance data is sparse, detection-driven, and unevenly sequenced. Using highly pathogenic avian influenza A/H5…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Yang Yang , Ashna Desai , Rebecca Dawson , Hao Xue , David Heslop , Matthew Scotch , Andreas Züfle , C. Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Network embedding techniques are powerful to capture structural regularities in networks and to identify similarities between their local fabrics. However, conventional network embedding models are developed for static structures, commonly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-07 Maddalena Torricelli , Márton Karsai , Laetitia Gauvin

In this work, we integrate the predictive capabilities of compartmental disease dynamics models with machine learning ability to analyze complex, high-dimensional data and uncover patterns that conventional models may overlook.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Muhammad Awais , Abu Safyan Ali , Giacomo Dimarco , Federica Ferrarese , Lorenzo Pareschi

Modelling epidemics using contact networks provides a significant improvement over classical compartmental models by explicitly incorporating the network of contacts. However, while network-based models describe disease spread on a given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-18 Andrés Guzmán , Federico Malizia , Gyeong Ho Park , Boseung Choi , Diana Cole , István Z. Kiss

Conformal prediction for graph neural networks (GNNs) offers a promising framework for quantifying uncertainty, enhancing GNN reliability in high-stakes applications. However, existing methods predominantly focus on static graphs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Tuo Wang , Jian Kang , Yujun Yan , Adithya Kulkarni , Dawei Zhou

In today's world,the risk of emerging and re-emerging epidemics have increased.The recent advancement in healthcare technology has made it possible to predict an epidemic outbreak in a region.Early prediction of an epidemic outbreak greatly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-01 Akshara Pramod , JS Abhishek , Suganthi K

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a formidable global health challenge, driven by complex spatiotemporal transmission dynamics and influenced by factors such as population mobility and behavioral changes. We propose an Epidemic-Guided Deep Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Madhab Barman , Madhurima Panja , Nachiketa Mishra , Tanujit Chakraborty

The structure of heterogeneous networks and human mobility patterns profoundly influence the spreading of endemic diseases. In small-scale communities, individuals engage in social interactions within confined environments, such as homes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-20 Yusheng Li , Yichao Yao , Minyu Feng , Tina P. Benko , Matjaž Perc , Jernej Završnik

Graph learning has been crucial to many real-world tasks, but they are often studied with a closed-world assumption, with all possible labels of data known a priori. To enable effective graph learning in an open and noisy environment, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Weijie Guan , Haohui Wang , Jian Kang , Lihui Liu , Dawei Zhou