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We consider online computation of expectations of additive state functionals under general path probability measures proportional to products of unnormalised transition densities. These transition densities are assumed to be intractable but…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-13 Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

Implicit particle filtering is a sequential Monte Carlo method for data assim- ilation, designed to keep the number of particles manageable by focussing attention on regions of large probability. These regions are found by min- imizing, for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Matthias Morzfeld , Alexandre J. Chorin

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

We propose a deconvolution algorithm for images blurred and degraded by a Poisson noise. The algorithm uses a fast proximal backward-forward splitting iteration. This iteration minimizes an energy which combines a \textit{non-linear} data…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 François-Xavier Dupé , Jalal Fadili , Jean Luc Starck

We study decision timing problems on finite horizon with Poissonian information arrivals. In our model, a decision maker wishes to optimally time her action in order to maximize her expected reward. The reward depends on an unobservable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Michael Ludkovski , Semih Sezer

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

State estimation in non-linear models is performed by tracking the posterior distribution recursively. A plethora of algorithms have been proposed for this task. Among them, the Gaussian particle filter uses a weighted set of particles to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

Let X be a continuous-time Markov chain in a finite set I, let h be a mapping of I onto another set, and let Y be defined by Y_t=h(X_t), (for t nonnegative). We address the filtering problem for X in terms of the observation Y, which is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

The dynamics of many open quantum systems are described by stochastic master equations. In the discrete-time case, we recall the structure of the derived quantum filter governing the evolution of the density operator conditioned to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-23 Pierre Six , Philippe Campagne-Ibarcq , Landry Bretheau , Benjamin Huard , Pierre Rouchon

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

In the following article we develop a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-02 Ajay Jasra , Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Xiaole Zhang

This paper proposes a new methodology to perform Bayesian inference for a class of multidimensional Cox processes in which the intensity function is piecewise constant. Poisson processes with piecewise constant intensity functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-16 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Barbara C. C. Dias

We treat an image restoration problem with a Poisson noise chan- nel using a Bayesian framework. The Poisson randomness might be appeared in observation of low contrast object in the field of imaging. The noise observation is often hard to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Hayaru Shouno

The problem of discrete universal filtering, in which the components of a discrete signal emitted by an unknown source and corrupted by a known DMC are to be causally estimated, is considered. A family of filters are derived, and are shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Taesup Moon , Tsachy Weissman

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

A Bayesian approach is presented for detecting and characterising the signal from discrete objects embedded in a diffuse background. The approach centres around the evaluation of the posterior distribution for the parameters of the discrete…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , C. McLachlan

Implicit particle filters for data assimilation generate high-probability samples by representing each particle location as a separate function of a common reference variable. This representation requires that a certain underdetermined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Ethan Atkins , Alexandre J. Chorin

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright-Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile

We consider particle filters with weakly informative observations (or `potentials') relative to the latent state dynamics. The particular focus of this work is on particle filters to approximate time-discretisations of continuous-time…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Nicolas Chopin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Tomás Soto , Matti Vihola

Estimating online the parameters of general state-space hidden Markov models is a topic of importance in many scientific and engineering disciplines. In this paper we present an online parameter estimation algorithm obtained by casting our…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-25 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn
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