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We study asymptotic properties of supercritical Galton-Watson (GW) branching processes in the asymptotic where the mean of the offspring distribution approaches 1 from above. We show that the population-size distribution of the GW branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Kyoya Uemura , Tomoyuki Obuch , Toshiyuki Tanaka

In a Bienaym\'{e}-Galton-Watson process for which there is a positiveprobability for individuals of having no offspring, there is a subtlebalance and dependence between the sterile nodes (the dead nodes or leaves)and the prolific ones (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Thierry Huillet , Servet Martinez

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

The aim of this paper is to introduce a multitype branching process with random migration following the research initiated with the Galton-Watson process with migration introduced in [Yanev & Mitov (1980) C. R. Acad. Bulg. Sci.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

We investigate Kesten-Stigum-like results for multi-type Galton-Watson processes with a countable number of types in a general setting, allowing us in particular to consider processes with an infinite total population at each generation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Mathilde André , Jean-Jil Duchamps

We examine the population growth system called Q-processes. This is defined by the Galton-Watson Branching system conditioned on non-extinction of its trajectory in the remote future. In this paper we observe the total progeny up to time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Azam A. Imomov , Zuhriddin A. Nazarov

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

We discuss complementary recurrence and transience criteria for stochastic processes $(X_n)_{n \ge 0}$ with values in the $d$-dimensional orthant $\mathbb R^d_+$ fulfilling a non-linear stochastic equation of the form $X_{n+1}=MX_n+g(X_n)+…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Götz Kersting

We study an extension of the so-called defective Galton-Watson processes obtained by allowing the offspring distribution to change over the generations. Thus, in these processes, the individuals reproduce independently of the others and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Götz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa

In this work we model the dynamics of a population that evolves as a continuous time branching process with a trait structure and ecological interactions in form of mutations and competition between individuals. We generalize existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Gabriel Berzunza , Anja Sturm , Anita Winter

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

We present a Bayesian method for characterizing the mating system of populations reproducing through a mixture of self-fertilization and random outcrossing. Our method uses patterns of genetic variation across the genome as a basis for…

We consider Galton-Watson branching processes with countable typeset $\mathcal{X}$. We study the vectors ${\bf q}(A)=(q_x(A))_{x\in\mathcal{X}}$ recording the conditional probabilities of extinction in subsets of types $A\subseteq…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Daniela Bertacchi , Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Fabio Zucca

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

Multi-type inhomogeneous Galton--Watson process with immigration is investigated, where the offspring mean matrix slowly converges to a critical mean matrix. Under general conditions we obtain limit distribution for the process, where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-31 László Györfi , Márton Ispány , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap

Let $A$ be a primitive matrix and let $\lambda$ be its Perron-Frobenius eigenvalue. We give formulas expressing the associated normalized Perron-Frobenius eigenvector as a simple functional of a multitype Galton-Watson process whose mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Raphaël Cerf , Joseba Dalmau

We derive some additional results on the Bienyam\'e-Galton-Watson branching process with $\theta -$linear fractional branching mechanism, as studied in \cite{Sag}. This includes: the explicit expression of the limit laws in both the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-08 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

This article is concerned with a version of the contact process with sexual reproduction on a graph with two levels of interactions modeling metapopulations. The population is spatially distributed into patches and offspring are produced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Nicolas Lanchier