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In recent years, China's bond market has seen a surge in defaults amid regulatory reforms and macroeconomic volatility. Traditional machine learning models struggle to capture financial data's irregularity and temporal dependencies, while…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Yi Lu , Aifan Ling , Chaoqun Wang , Yaxin Xu

Changes in the capital structure before and after the global financial crisis for SMEs are studied, emphasizing their financing problems, distinguishing between internal financing and external financing determinants. The empirical research…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-25 ShiXue He , Marcel Ausloos

We examine the impact of mandatory export proceeds repatriation on exchange rate stability in three emerging markets, Iran, Sri Lanka, and Turkey, using the Generalized Synthetic Control framework. By modeling exchange rate stochastic…

The aim of this paper is to dig deeper into understanding the exchange rates and uncertainty dependence. Using the novel Baker et al. (2020)'s daily Twitter Uncertainty Index and BRICS exchange rates, we investigate their extreme tail…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-10 Nourhaine Nefzi , Abir Abid

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

A stream of unstructured news can be a valuable source of hidden relations between different entities, such as financial institutions, countries, or persons. We present an approach to continuously collect online news, recognize relevant…

External debt has been identified as the most liable to cause financial crises in developing countries in Asia and Latin America. One recent example of near bankruptcy in Sri Lanka has raised serious concerns among economists about how to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-01 Nusrat Nawshin , Asif Imtiaz , Md. Shamsuddin Sarker

Purpose: In the context of a COVID pandemic in 2020-21, this paper attempts to capture the interconnectedness and volatility transmission dynamics. The nature of change in volatility spillover effects and time-varying conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-02 Avik Das , Devanjali Nandi Das

The emergence and transfer of wealth promote the evolution of civilizations. Through the pursuit of the form of wealth valued by the members of society, the self-assertiveness demands of a society can be met and thus stimulate creativity.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Hengjin Cai

This study investigates the extent to which local public equity indices can statistically hedge real purchasing power loss during compounded structural macro-financial collapses in emerging markets. We employ a non-linear multiplicative…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Artem Alkhamov , Boris Kriuk

The empirical literature provides mixed results on the relationship between inflation and unemployment, therefore, there is no consensus on validity and stability of the Phillips Curve. It also seems to be closely related with…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Yhlas Sovbetov , Muhittin Kaplan

Since 2002 when China first introduced QFII (Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors) system, QFII has been developing in China for 14 years, during when RQFII, Shanghai-Hongkong Stock Connect Program, Shanghai-London Stock Connect…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-02 Zichong Li , Pengyu Huang

Geopolitical and geoeconomic shocks reprice sovereign credit risk through different transmission channels. Using a daily panel of 42 advanced and emerging economies over 2018--2025, we show that geopolitical shocks raise sovereign CDS…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Alvaro Ortiz , Tomasa Rodrigo , Pablo Saborido

Financial market resilience reflects the ability of a financial market to withstand external shocks and to recover from them, while its measurement has yet to be standardized. Accordingly, this paper quantifies the adaptability and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Si-Yao Wei , Kun-Liang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Previous studies show that natural disasters decelerate economic growth, and more so in countries with lower financial development. We confirm these results with more recent data. We are the first to show that fiscal stability reduces the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-16 Valeria Terrones , Richard S. J. Tol

This paper takes the development of China's Central bank digital currencies as a perspective, theoretically analyses the impact mechanism of the issuance and circulation of Central bank digital currencies on China's monetary policy and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-12 Ruimin Song , TIntian Zhao , Chunhui Zhou

The dissertation consists of three essays on responsible and sustainable finance. I show that local communities should be seen as stakeholders to decisions made by corporations. In the first essay, I examine whether the imposition of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Baridhi Malakar

Using Croatian data and the IMF's Natural Disaster Debt Dynamic Tool, this paper assesses how public debt adjusts to extreme events in a small open economy. We compare debt paths under baseline and stress scenarios, the latter simulating a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-06 Luka Draganić , Leonarda Srdelić , Marwil J. Davila-Fernandez

The COVID-19 pandemic revealed that global health, social systems, and economies can be surprisingly fragile in an increasingly interconnected and interdependent world. Yet, during the last half of 2022, and quite remarkably, we began…

The main objective of this study is to check short term stress of COVID-19 on the American, European, Asian, and Pacific stock market indices, furthermore, the correlation between all the stock markets during the pandemic. Secondary data of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-17 Muhammad Rehan , Jahanzaib Alvi , Suleyman Serdar Karaca