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Exploration in reinforcement learning is a challenging problem: in the worst case, the agent must search for high-reward states that could be hidden anywhere in the state space. Can we define a more tractable class of RL problems, where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Kevin Li , Abhishek Gupta , Ashwin Reddy , Vitchyr Pong , Aurick Zhou , Justin Yu , Sergey Levine

Random matrix theory has become a widely useful tool in high-dimensional statistics and theoretical machine learning. However, random matrix theory is largely focused on the proportional asymptotics in which the number of columns grows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Chen Cheng , Andrea Montanari

We consider the problem of online linear regression in the stochastic setting. We derive high probability regret bounds for online ridge regression and the forward algorithm. This enables us to compare online regression algorithms more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Reda Ouhamma , Odalric Maillard , Vianney Perchet

Traditional finance and macroeconomic models usually assume people can form rational expectations or reach them via a learning path by minimizing prediction errors. The recent Reference Model Based Learning (RMBL) model provides a new…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-05 Jiaoying Pei

We study the excess risk evaluation of classical penalized empirical risk minimization (ERM) with Bregman losses. We show that by leveraging the idea of wild refitting, one can efficiently upper bound the excess risk through the so-called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Haichen Hu , David Simchi-Levi

An interesting phenomenon arises: Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) sometimes outperforms methods specifically designed for out-of-distribution tasks. This motivates an investigation into the reasons behind such behavior beyond algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hong Zheng , Fei Teng

The explicit regularization and optimality of deep neural networks estimators from independent data have made considerable progress recently. The study of such properties on dependent data is still a challenge. In this paper, we carry out…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-09 William Kengne , Modou Wade

Statistical inverse learning aims at recovering an unknown function $f$ from randomly scattered and possibly noisy point evaluations of another function $g$, connected to $f$ via an ill-posed mathematical model. In this paper we blend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Tapio Helin

Training an energy-based model (EBM) with maximum likelihood is challenging due to the intractable normalisation constant. Traditional methods rely on expensive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to estimate the gradient of logartihm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Hugo Senetaire , Paul Jeha , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-06 Yanyuan Ma , Shaoli Wang , Lin Xu , Weixin Yao

Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference methods yield posterior approximations for simulator models with intractable likelihood. Recently, many works trained neural networks to approximate either the intractable likelihood or the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-01 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Ritabrata Dutta

We consider the problem of selecting a subset of points from a dataset of $n$ unlabeled examples for labeling, with the goal of training a multiclass classifier. To address this, we build upon the regret minimization framework introduced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Youguang Chen , George Biros

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

Linear regression with normally distributed errors - including particular cases such as ANOVA, Student's t-test or location-scale inference - is a widely used statistical procedure. In this case the ordinary least squares estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Alain Desgagné

Logistic regression is commonly used for modeling dichotomous outcomes. In the classical setting, where the number of observations is much larger than the number of parameters, properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in logistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-14 Fariborz Salehi , Ehsan Abbasi , Babak Hassibi

Deep reinforcement learning (RL) has shown remarkable success in specific offline decision-making scenarios, yet its theoretical guarantees are still under development. Existing works on offline RL theory primarily emphasize a few trivial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Di Wu , Yuling Jiao , Li Shen , Haizhao Yang , Xiliang Lu

Network meta-analysis combines aggregate data (AgD) from multiple randomised controlled trials, assuming that any effect modifiers are balanced across populations. Individual patient data (IPD) meta-regression is the "gold standard" method…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 David M. Phillippo , Sofia Dias , A. E. Ades , Nicky J. Welton

A Two-Stage approach enables researchers to make optimal non-linear predictions via Generalized Ridge Regression using models that contain two or more x-predictor variables and make only realistic minimal assumptions. The optimal regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Robert L. Obenchain

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance on many generative tasks. Despite recent success, most diffusion models are restricted in that they only allow linear transformation of the data distribution. In contrast, broader family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

Conventional techniques for supervised classification constrain the classification rules considered and use surrogate losses for classification 0-1 loss. Favored families of classification rules are those that enjoy parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Santiago Mazuelas , Andrea Zanoni , Aritz Perez
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