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The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Fine particulate matter, PM$_{2.5}$, has been documented to have adverse health effects and wildland fires are a major contributor to PM$_{2.5}$ air pollution in the US. Forecasters use numerical models to predict PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-30 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Susan O'Neill , Ana G. Rappold

In this paper, we address the issue of modeling and estimating changes in the state of the spatio-temporal dynamical systems based on a sequence of observations like video frames. Traditional numerical simulation systems depend largely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Guibin Zhang , Junfeng Fang , Yuxuan Liang , Yuankai Wu , Roger Zimmermann , Yang Wang

Recurrent neural networks are powerful tools for understanding and modeling computation and representation by populations of neurons. Continuous-variable or "rate" model networks have been analyzed and applied extensively for these…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-29 Brian DePasquale , Mark M. Churchland , L. F. Abbott

Efficient energy management is essential for reliable and sustainable microgrid operation amid increasing renewable integration. In this paper, an imitation learning-based framework to approximate mixed-integer Economic Model Predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Changrui Liu , Shengling Shi , Anil Alan , Ganesh Kumar Venayagamoorthy , Bart De Schutter

Modeling atmospheric chemistry is complex and computationally intense. Given the recent success of Deep neural networks in digital signal processing, we propose a Neural Network Emulator for fast chemical concentration modeling. We consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Zhi-Song Liu , Petri Clusius , Michael Boy

In this paper, we show empirical evidence on how to construct the optimal feature selection or input representation used by the input layer of a feedforward neural network for the propose of forecasting spatial-temporal signals. The…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Eurico Covas , Emmanouil Benetos

Machine learning approaches to spatiotemporal physical systems have primarily focused on next-frame prediction, with the goal of learning an accurate emulator for the system's evolution in time. However, these emulators are computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Helen Qu , Rudy Morel , Michael McCabe , Alberto Bietti , François Lanusse , Shirley Ho , Yann LeCun

Fire propagation is a major concern in the world in general and in Argentinian northwestern Patagonia in particular where every year hundreds of hectares are affected by both natural and anthropogenic forest fires. We developed an efficient…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-22 Mónica Denham , Karina Laneri

Traditional numerical simulation methods require substantial computational resources to accurately determine the complete nonlinear thermoacoustic response of flames to various perturbation frequencies and amplitudes. In this paper, we have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Jiawei Wu , Teng Wang , Jiaqi Nan , Lijun Yang , Jingxuan Li

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

Model Predictive Control lacks the ability to escape local minima in nonconvex problems. Furthermore, in fast-changing, uncertain environments, the conventional warmstart, using the optimal trajectory from the last timestep, often falls…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Mohamed-Khalil Bouzidi , Yue Yao , Daniel Goehring , Joerg Reichardt

Wildfire forecasting is notoriously hard due to the complex interplay of different factors such as weather conditions, vegetation types and human activities. Deep learning models show promise in dealing with this complexity by learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Shan Zhao , Ioannis Prapas , Ilektra Karasante , Zhitong Xiong , Ioannis Papoutsis , Gustau Camps-Valls , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Threat detection of weapons and aggressive behavior from live video can be used for rapid detection and prevention of potentially deadly incidents such as terrorism, general criminal offences, or even domestic violence. One way for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Alexander Egiazarov , Fabio Massimo Zennaro , Vasileios Mavroeidis

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Identifying regions that have high likelihood for wildfires is a key component of land and forestry management and disaster preparedness. We create a data set by aggregating nearly a decade of remote-sensing data and historical fire records…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme , Qing Wang , John Burge , Tianjian Lu , Jason Hickey , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

Epidemic models on complex networks have been widely used to study how the social structure of a population affect the spreading of epidemics. However, their numerical simulation can be computationally heavy, especially for large networks.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-10 Samuel Cure , Florian G. Pflug , Simone Pigolotti

Parameter estimation for dynamical systems remains challenging due to non-convexity and sensitivity to initial parameter guesses. Recent deep learning approaches enable accurate and fast parameter estimation but do not exploit transferable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-08 Fabian Raisch , Timo Germann , J. Nathan Kutz , Christoph Goebel , Benjamin Tischler

Neural scaling laws, which in some domains can predict the performance of large neural networks as a function of model, data, and compute scale, are the cornerstone of building foundation models in Natural Language Processing and Computer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Shashank Subramanian , Alexander Kiefer , Arnur Nigmetov , Amir Gholami , Dmitriy Morozov , Michael W. Mahoney