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The increasing size and severity of wildfires across the western United States have generated dangerous levels of PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations in recent years. In a changing climate, expanding the use of prescribed fires is widely considered…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-27 Kyleen Liao , Jatan Buch , Kara Lamb , Pierre Gentine

Since loose-fitting clothing contains dynamic modes that have proven to be difficult to predict via neural networks, we first illustrate how to coarsely approximate these modes with a real-time numerical algorithm specifically designed to…

Graphics · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Yongxu Jin , Dalton Omens , Zhenglin Geng , Joseph Teran , Abishek Kumar , Kenji Tashiro , Ronald Fedkiw

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

We consider a distributed estimation method in a setting with heterogeneous streams of correlated data distributed across nodes in a network. In the considered approach, linear models are estimated locally (i.e., with only local data)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Lingzhou Hong , Alfredo Garcia , Ceyhun Eksin

Reliable wildfire spread prediction is vital for risk-aware emergency planning, yet most deep learning models lack principled uncertainty quantification (UQ). Further, for boundary-sensitive cases like wildfire spread, evaluating models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jonas V. Funk

Simulators based on neural networks offer a path to orders-of-magnitude faster electromagnetic wave simulations. Existing models, however, only address narrowly tailored classes of problems and only scale to systems of a few dozen degrees…

Optics · Physics 2024-04-02 Charles Dove , Jatearoon Boondicharern , Laura Waller

Global wildfire models play a crucial role in anticipating and responding to changing wildfire regimes. JULES-INFERNO is a global vegetation and fire model simulating wildfire emissions and area burnt on a global scale. However, because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Sibo Cheng , Hector Chassagnon , Matthew Kasoar , Yike Guo , Rossella Arcucci

Spreading processes, e.g. epidemics, wildfires and rumors, are often modeled on static networks. However, their underlying network structures, e.g. changing contacts in social networks, different weather forecasts for wildfires, are due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

Spiking neural networks (SNNs), inspired by the spiking behavior of biological neurons, provide a unique pathway for capturing the intricacies of temporal data. However, applying SNNs to time-series forecasting is challenging due to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Changze Lv , Yansen Wang , Dongqi Han , Xiaoqing Zheng , Xuanjing Huang , Dongsheng Li

Thermal errors in machine tools significantly impact machining precision and productivity. Traditional thermal error correction/compensation methods rely on measured temperature-deformation fields or on transfer functions. Most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 C. Coelho , M. Hohmann , D. Fernández , L. Penter , S. Ihlenfeldt , O. Niggemann

In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC) method for real-time intervention of spreading processes, such as epidemics and wildfire, over large-scale networks. The goal is to allocate budgeted resources each time step to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Ruigang Wang , Armaghan Zafar , Ian R. Manchester

Path planning over spatiotemporal models can be applied to a variety of applications such as UAVs searching for spreading wildfire in mountains or network of balloons in time-varying atmosphere deployed for inexpensive internet service. A…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Hunmin Kim , Kripash Shrestha , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

Ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show systematic errors that require correction via post-processing. While there has been substantial progress in flexible neural network-based post-processing methods over the past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Moritz Feik , Sebastian Lerch , Jan Stühmer

Emulator embedded neural networks, which are a type of physics informed neural network, leverage multi-fidelity data sources for efficient design exploration of aerospace engineering systems. Multiple realizations of the neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Atticus Beachy , Harok Bae , Jose Camberos , Ramana Grandhi

In this paper, the physics informed neural networks (PINNs) is employed for the numerical simulation of heat transfer involving a moving source. To reduce the computational effort, a new training method is proposed that uses a continuous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Anirudh Kalyan , Sundararajan Natarajan

As the impact of wildfires has become increasingly more severe over the last decades, there is continued pressure for improvements in our ability to predict wildland fire behavior over a wide range of conditions. One approach towards this…

The ability to forecast grass fire spread could be of a great importance for agencies making decisions about prescribed burns. However, the usefulness of the models used for fire-spread predictions is limited by the time required for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-12-23 Adam K. Kochanski , S. K. Krueger , M. A. Jenkins , J. Mandel , J. D. Beezley

Spatio-temporal hierarchical modeling is an extremely attractive way to model the spread of crime or terrorism data over a given region, especially when the observations are counts and must be modeled discretely. The spatio-temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-27 Nicholas J. Clark , Philip M. Dixon

This simulation study compares statistical approaches for estimating extreme quantile regression, with a specific application to fire risk forecasting. A simulation-based framework is designed to evaluate the effectiveness of different…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

In this paper, we attempt to employ convolutional recurrent neural networks for weather temperature estimation using only image data. We study ambient temperature estimation based on deep neural networks in two scenarios a) estimating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-26 Wei-Ta Chu , Kai-Chia Ho , Ali Borji