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This paper reviews two main types of prediction interval methods under a parametric framework. First, we describe methods based on an (approximate) pivotal quantity. Examples include the plug-in, pivotal, and calibration methods. Then we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Qinglong Tian , Daniel J. Nordman , William Q. Meeker

This paper serves as a literature review of methodology concerning the (modern) causal inference methods to address the causal estimand with observational/survey data that have been or will be used in social science research. Mainly, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-02 Guanghui Pan

A new model for time series with a specific oscillation pattern is proposed. The model consists of a hidden phase process controlling the speed of polling and a nonparametric curve characterizing the pattern, leading together to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Thierry Dumont , Sylvain Le Corff , Jan C. Neddermeyer

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

Statistical analysis is an important tool to distinguish systematic from chance findings. Current statistical analyses rely on distributional assumptions reflecting the structure of some underlying model, which if not met lead to problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

I present a critical review of techniques for estimating confidence intervals on binomial population proportions inferred from success counts in small-to-intermediate samples. Population proportions arise frequently as quantities of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Ewan Cameron

This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Recent work has focused attention on statistical inference for the population distribution of the number of sexual partners based on survey data. The characteristics of these distributions are of interest as components of mathematical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark S. Handcock , James Holland Jones , Martina Morris

Inference tasks in signal processing are often characterized by the availability of reliable statistical modeling with some missing instance-specific parameters. One conventional approach uses data to estimate these missing parameters and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-25 Nir Shlezinger , Tirza Routtenberg

Within the biological, physical, and social sciences, there are two broad quantitative traditions: statistical and mathematical modeling. Both traditions have the common pursuit of advancing our scientific knowledge, but these traditions…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-05 Paul N Zivich

Ecologists are interested in modeling the population growth of species in various ecosystems. Studying population dynamics can assist environmental managers in making better decisions for the environment. Traditionally, the sampling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Rebecca E. Atanga , Edward L. Boone , Ryad A. Ghanam , Ben Stewart-Koster

Comparing the differences in outcomes (that is, in "dependent variables") between two subpopulations is often most informative when comparing outcomes only for individuals from the subpopulations who are similar according to "independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-20 Mark Tygert

Simulation methods are among the most ubiquitous methodological tools in statistical science. In particular, statisticians often is simulation to explore properties of statistical functionals in models for which developed statistical theory…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Tyrel Stokes , Ian Shrier , Russell Steele

Statistical analyses of multipopulation studies often use the data to select a particular population as the target of inference. For example, a confidence interval may be constructed for a population only in the event that its sample mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Peter Hoff , Surya Tokdar

There is a growing need for investigating how machine learning models operate. With this work, we aim to understand trained machine learning models by questioning their data preferences. We propose a mathematical framework that allows us to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Eren Mehmet Kıral , Nurşen Aydın , Ş. İlker Birbil

Statistical models and methods for determinantal point processes (DPPs) seem largely unexplored. We demonstrate that DPPs provide useful models for the description of spatial point pattern datasets where nearby points repel each other. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Frédéric Lavancier , Jesper Møller , Ege Rubak

A representative researcher has repeated opportunities for empirical research. To process findings, she must impose an "identifying assumption." She conducts research when the assumption is sufficiently plausible (taking into account both…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-17 Andrew Ellis , Ran Spiegler

A large class of problems in sciences and engineering can be formulated as the general problem of constructing random intervals with pre-specified coverage probabilities for the mean. Wee propose a general approach for statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Xinjia Chen

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the finite population mean when some information on two auxiliary attributes are available. It is shown that the proposed estimator is more efficient than the usual mean estimator and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Sachin Malik , Rajesh Singh
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