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We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana

When estimating causal effects using observational data, it is desirable to replicate a randomized experiment as closely as possible by obtaining treated and control groups with similar covariate distributions. This goal can often be…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-28 Elizabeth A. Stuart

This paper proposes a general family of estimators for estimating the population mean in systematic sampling in the presence of non-response adapting the family of estimators proposed by Khoshnevisan et al. (2007). In this paper we have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 M. K. Chaudhary , Sachin Malik , Jayant Singh , Rajesh Singh

We observe a random measure $N$ and aim at estimating its intensity $s$. This statistical framework allows to deal simultaneously with the problems of estimating a density, the marginals of a multivariate distribution, the mean of a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Yannick Baraud

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

Textbooks on statistics emphasize care and precision, via concepts such as reliability and validity in measurement, random sampling and treatment assignment in data collection, and causal identification and bias in estimation. But how do…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-24 Andrew Gelman , Keith O'Rourke

We study a data analyst's problem of acquiring data from self-interested individuals to obtain an accurate estimation of some statistic of a population, subject to an expected budget constraint. Each data holder incurs a cost, which is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Yiling Chen , Shuran Zheng

Statistical thinking partially depends upon an iterative process by which essential features of a problem setting are identified and mapped onto an abstract model or archetype, and then translated back into the context of the original…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-02-21 Matthew Beckman , Robert delMas

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

The aim of this paper is to provide a resampling technique that allows us to make inference on superpopulation parameters in finite population setting. Under complex sampling designs, it is often difficult to obtain explicit results about…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Pier Luigi Conti , Alberto Di Iorio

The recent proliferation of research into transformer based natural language processing has led to a number of studies which attempt to detect the presence of human-like cognitive behavior in the models. We contend that, as is true of human…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Jesse Roberts , Kyle Moore , Drew Wilenzick , Doug Fisher

Online data has the potential to transform how researchers and companies produce election forecasts. Social media surveys, online panels and even comments scraped from the internet can offer valuable insights into political preferences.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-20 Alberto Arletti , Maria Letizia Tanturri , Omar Paccagnella

This article introduces a new method for eliciting prior distributions from experts. The method models an expert decision-making process to infer a prior probability distribution for a rare event $A$. More specifically, assuming there…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Julia R. Falconer , Eibe Frank , Devon L. L. Polaschek , Chaitanya Joshi

One can argue that one of the main roles of the subject of statistics is to characterize what the evidence in collected data says about questions of scientific interest. There are two broad questions that we will refer to as the estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Michael Evans

One way to investigate the precision of estimates likely to result from planned experiments and planned epidemiological studies is to simulate a large number of possible outcomes and analyse the sets of possible results. This appears to be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-28 G. K. Robinson , L. M. Ryan

Survey sampling theory and methods are introduced. Sampling designs and estimation methods are carefully discussed as a textbook for survey sampling. Topics includes Horvitz-Thompson estimation, simple random sampling, stratified sampling,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Jae Kwang Kim

According to Hansen, Madow and Tepping [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 78 (1983) 776--793], "Probability sampling designs and randomization inference are widely accepted as the standard approach in sample surveys." In this article, reasons are…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-12 J. N. K. Rao

This paper is about how we study statistical methods. As an example, it uses the random regressions model, in which the intercept and slope of cluster-specific regression lines are modeled as a bivariate random effect. Maximizing this…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-05-22 James S. Hodges

In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen