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We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We study prediction and estimation problems using empirical risk minimization, relative to a general convex loss function. We obtain sharp error rates even when concentration is false or is very restricted, for example, in heavy-tailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Shahar Mendelson

Systems of interacting particles or agents have wide applications in many disciplines such as Physics, Chemistry, Biology and Economics. These systems are governed by interaction laws, which are often unknown: estimating them from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-16 Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang

Initially designed for independent datas, low-rank matrix completion was successfully applied in many domains to the reconstruction of partially observed high-dimensional time series. However, there is a lack of theory to support the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Marie , Amélie Rosier

We initiate a study of supervised learning from many independent sequences ("trajectories") of non-independent covariates, reflecting tasks in sequence modeling, control, and reinforcement learning. Conceptually, our multi-trajectory setup…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Stephen Tu , Roy Frostig , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

Most existing literature on supervised machine learning assumes that the training dataset is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many real-world problems exhibit temporal dependence and strong correlations between the marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Nikola Sandrić

We consider the problem of learning the dynamics of a linear system when one has access to data generated by an auxiliary system that shares similar (but not identical) dynamics, in addition to data from the true system. We use a weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Lei Xin , Lintao Ye , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

We show that the bias of the approximate maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) objective of a persistent chain energy-based model (EBM) is precisely equal to the thermodynamic excess work of an overdamped Langevin dynamical system. We then…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-06 Jeff Hnybida , Simon Verret

Loss Given Default (LGD) modeling faces a fundamental data quality constraint: 90% of available training data consists of proxy estimates based on pre-distress balance sheets rather than actual recovery outcomes from completed bankruptcy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Javier Marín

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

It has been recently shown that, under the margin (or low noise) assumption, there exist classifiers attaining fast rates of convergence of the excess Bayes risk, i.e., the rates faster than $n^{-1/2}$. The works on this subject suggested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-01 Jean-Yves Audibert , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

The overarching goal of this paper is to derive excess risk bounds for learning from exp-concave loss functions in passive and sequential learning settings. Exp-concave loss functions encompass several fundamental problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Mehrdad Mahdavi , Rong Jin

We study computational and statistical aspects of learning Latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs). In this model, the learner interacts with an MDP drawn at the beginning of each epoch from an unknown mixture of MDPs. To sidestep known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Fan Chen , Constantinos Daskalakis , Noah Golowich , Alexander Rakhlin

We investigate the in-context learning capabilities of transformers for the $d$-dimensional mixture of linear regression model, providing theoretical insights into their existence, generalization bounds, and training dynamics. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yanhao Jin , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Lifeng Lai

In the Mixup training paradigm, a model is trained using convex combinations of data points and their associated labels. Despite seeing very few true data points during training, models trained using Mixup seem to still minimize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Muthu Chidambaram , Xiang Wang , Yuzheng Hu , Chenwei Wu , Rong Ge

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

We consider a multi-armed bandit problem with $M$ latent contexts, where an agent interacts with the environment for an episode of $H$ time steps. Depending on the length of the episode, the learner may not be able to estimate accurately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Jeongyeol Kwon , Yonathan Efroni , Constantine Caramanis , Shie Mannor

Learning from temporally-correlated data is a core facet of modern machine learning. Yet our understanding of sequential learning remains incomplete, particularly in the multi-trajectory setting where data consists of many independent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Eliot Shekhtman , Yichen Zhou , Ingvar Ziemann , Nikolai Matni , Stephen Tu

In this paper we characterize sharp time-data tradeoffs for optimization problems used for solving linear inverse problems. We focus on the minimization of a least-squares objective subject to a constraint defined as the sub-level set of a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-01-06 Samet Oymak , Benjamin Recht , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

Mixtures of Mallows models are a popular generative model for ranking data coming from a heterogeneous population. They have a variety of applications including social choice, recommendation systems and natural language processing. Here we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-08-20 Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra