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Known for their impressive performance in generative modeling, diffusion models are attractive candidates for density-based anomaly detection. This paper investigates different variations of diffusion modeling for unsupervised and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Victor Livernoche , Vineet Jain , Yashar Hezaveh , Siamak Ravanbakhsh

Statistical post-processing of dynamical forecast ensembles is an essential component of weather forecasting. In this article, we present a post-processing method that generates full predictive probability distributions for precipitation…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer

In this work, we investigate the phenomenologically emergent dark energy (PEDE) model and its generalized form, namely the generalized emergent dark energy (GEDE) model, which introduces a free parameter \unboldmath {\( \Delta \)} that can…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-25 GuangZhen Wang , Xiaolei Li , Nan Liang

The present paper considers modified extension of the exponential distribution with three parameters. We study the main properties of this new distribution, with special emphasis on its median, mode and moments function and some…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Dina. A. Ramadan

As our planet is entering into the "global boiling" era, understanding regional climate change becomes imperative. Effective downscaling methods that provide localized insights are crucial for this target. Traditional approaches, including…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Fenghua Ling , Zeyu Lu , Jing-Jia Luo , Lei Bai , Swadhin K. Behera , Dachao Jin , Baoxiang Pan , Huidong Jiang , Toshio Yamagata

The probability distribution of the magnitude can be modeled by an exponential distribution according to the Gutenberg-Richter relation. Two alternatives are the truncated exponential distribution (TED) and the cut-off exponential…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Mathias Raschke

DUS transformation of lifetime distributions received attention by engineers and researchers in recent years. The present study introduces a new class of distribution using exponentiation of DUS transformation. A new distribution using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Beenu Thomas , Chacko V M

Prompt and accurate precipitation forecast is very important for development management of regional water resource, flood disaster prevention and people's daily activity and production plan; however, non-linear and nonstationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-06-24 Hongya Li , Yuzhong Peng , Chuyan Deng , Yonghua Pan , Daoqing Gong , Hao Zhang

We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-12 Colas Schretter , Jianyong Sun , Peter Schelkens

In order to reach the supply/demand balance, electricity providers need to predict the demand and production of electricity at different time scales. This implies the need of modeling weather variables such as temperature, wind speed, solar…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Augustin Touron

The probability density function (PDF) plays a central role in statistical and machine learning modeling. Real-world data often deviates from Gaussian assumptions, exhibiting skewness and exponential decay. To evaluate how well different…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-05 Shantanu Sarkar , Mousumi Sinha , Dexter Cahoy

Minimum divergence estimators provide a natural choice of estimators in a statistical inference problem. Different properties of various families of these divergence measures such as Hellinger distance, power divergence, density power…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Subhrajyoty Roy , Supratik Basu , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Multi-source precipitation products (MSPs) from satellite retrievals and reanalysis are widely used for hydroclimatic monitoring, yet spatially heterogeneous biases and limited skill for extremes still constrain their hydrologic utility.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuchen Ye , Zixuan Qi , Shixuan Li , Wei Qi , Yanpeng Cai , Chaoxia Yuan

Several analytical forms of cloud particle size distributions (PSDs) have been used in numerical modeling and remote sensing retrieval studies of clouds and precipitation, including exponential, gamma, lognormal, and Weibull distributions.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-01-11 Wei Wu , Greg M McFarquhar

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are increasingly used in longitudinal data analysis, compartmental models, growth modelling, and other applications in a number of disciplines. Parameter estimation, however, currently requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Oscar García

High quality Quantitative Precipitation Estimation at high spatiotemporal resolution is crucial to many hydrologic/hydro-meteorological designs. Optimal Quantitative Precipitation Estimation of rainfall improves the accuracy of river and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-03 Ruhollah Nasiri , Mohamad Sarajzadeh

We introduce a general framework for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) using generative diffusion models. In particular, we focus on the scenarios where we do not have the full knowledge of the scene necessary to apply classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Jiahe Huang , Guandao Yang , Zichen Wang , Jeong Joon Park

We present a new method of training energy-based models (EBMs) for anomaly detection that leverages low-dimensional structures within data. The proposed algorithm, Manifold Projection-Diffusion Recovery (MPDR), first perturbs a data point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Sangwoong Yoon , Young-Uk Jin , Yung-Kyun Noh , Frank C. Park

We address the problem of data augmentation in a rotating turbulence set-up, a paradigmatic challenge in geophysical applications. The goal is to reconstruct information in two-dimensional (2D) cuts of the three-dimensional flow fields,…

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Naruki Sonobe , Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa
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