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We present some ideas on how to extend a kinetic type model for crowd dynamics to account for an infectious disease spreading. We focus on a medium size crowd occupying a confined environment where the disease is easily spread. The kinetic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

Models of contagion arise broadly both in the biological and social sciences, with applications ranging from the transmission of infectious diseases to the diffusion of innovations and the spread of cultural fads. In this Letter, we…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 P. S. Dodds , D. J. Watts

Motivated by the analysis of social networks, we study a model of random networks that has both a given degree distribution and a tunable clustering coefficient. We consider two types of growth processes on these graphs: diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

We study viral transmission in crowds via the short-ranged airborne pathway using a purely model-based approach. Our goal is two-pronged. Firstly, we illustrate with a concrete and pedagogical case study how to estimate the risks of new…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Alexandre Nicolas , Simon Mendez

We propose a spreading model in multilayer networks and study the nature of nonequilibrium phase transition in the model. The model integrates the susceptible-infected-susceptible (or susceptible-infected-recovered) spreading dynamics with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-01 Ningbo An , Hanshuang Chen , Chuang Ma , Haifeng Zhang

The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

Diseases and other contagion phenomena in nature and society can interact asymmetrically, such that one can benefit from the other, which in turn impairs the first, in analogy with predator-prey systems. Here, we consider two models for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-17 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Yamir Moreno , Francisco A. Rodrigues

The spread of ideas, behaviors, and technologies generally depends on feedback mechanisms operating across multiple scales. Previous studies have extensively examined pairwise transmission and local reinforcement. However, the role of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-18 Leyang Xue , Kai-Cheng Yang , Peng-Bi Cui , Zengru Di

Many epidemic processes in networks spread by stochastic contacts among their connected vertices. There are two limiting cases widely analyzed in the physics literature, the so-called contact process (CP) where the contagion is expanded at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-19 S. Gomez , A. Arenas , J. Borge-Holthoefer , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We investigate the case when the underlying structure evolves dynamically as a degree-dependent dynamical percolation model. Starting with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese , Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

Susceptibility governs the dynamics of contagion. The classical SIR model is one of the simplest compartmental models of contagion spread, assuming a single shared susceptibility level. However, variation in susceptibility over a population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-22 Christopher Rose , Andrew J. Medford , C. Franklin Goldsmith , Tejs Vegge , Joshua Weitz , Andrew A. Peterson

We develop a theoretical framework for the study of epidemic-like social contagion in large scale social systems. We consider the most general setting in which different communication platforms or categories form multiplex networks.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 E. Cozzo , R. A. Baños , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

The analysis of contagion-diffusion processes in metapopulations is a powerful theoretical tool to study how mobility influences the spread of communicable diseases. Nevertheless, many metapopulation approaches use indistinguishable agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-20 Pablo Valgañón , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Heterogeneous adoption thresholds exist widely in social contagions, but were always neglected in previous studies. We first propose a non-Markovian spreading threshold model with general adoption threshold distribution. In order to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-13 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Panpan Shu , Zhen Wang

The dynamics of many epidemic compartmental models for infectious diseases that spread in a single host population present a second-order phase transition. This transition occurs as a function of the infectivity parameter, from the absence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-02 Alex Arenas , Antonio Garijo , Sergio Gómez , Jordi Villadelprat

Information and individual activities often spread globally through the network of social ties. While social contagion phenomena have been extensively studied within the framework of threshold models, it is common to make an assumption that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Social reinforcement mechanism, which characterizes the promoting effects when exposing to multiple sources in social contagion process, is ubiquitous in information-technology ecosystem and has aroused great attention in recent years.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-07 Longzhao Liu , Xin Wang , Shaoting Tang , Hongwei Zheng , Zhiming Zheng

We investigate infectious disease spreading on scale-free networks using a heterogeneous mean-field approach applied to the susceptible-infected-susceptible model, incorporating a mitigation factor. Individual heterogeneity is incorporated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-12 João Gabriel Simões Delboni , M. O. Hase

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Philip E Pare , Sebin Gracy , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson