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For a Markovian dynamics on discrete states, the logarithmic ratio of waiting-time distributions between two successive, instantaneous transitions in forward and backward direction is a measure of time-irreversibility. It thus serves as an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-13 Ellen Meyberg , Julius Degünther , Udo Seifert

We study the underdamped Langevin dynamics with invariant measure $\mu(\,\mathrm{d}x\,\mathrm{d}v)\propto \mathrm{e}^{-U(x)-\lvert v\rvert^2/2}\,\mathrm{d}x\,\mathrm{d}v$. Assume that the position marginal $\mu_x(\,\mathrm{d}x)\propto…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Jianfeng Lu

There have been recent efforts that combine seemingly disparate methods, extremum seeking (ES) optimization and partial differential equation (PDE) backstepping, to address the problem of model-free optimization with PDE actuator dynamics.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Cemal Tugrul Yilmaz , Mamadou Diagne , Miroslav Krstic

We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a…

We consider the problem of approximating the product of $n$ expectations with respect to a common probability distribution $\mu$. Such products routinely arise in statistics as values of the likelihood in latent variable models. Motivated…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-05 Anthony Lee , Simone Tiberi , Giacomo Zanella

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

Standard practice obtains an unbiased variance estimator by dividing by $N-1$ rather than $N$. Yet if only half the data are used to compute the mean, dividing by $N$ can still yield an unbiased estimator. We show that an alternative mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Dai Akita

We study stochastic gradient descent for solving conditional stochastic optimization problems, in which an objective to be minimized is given by a parametric nested expectation with an outer expectation taken with respect to one random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Takashi Goda , Wataru Kitade

Many complex systems, ranging from migrating cells to animal groups, exhibit stochastic dynamics described by the underdamped Langevin equation. Inferring such an equation of motion from experimental data can provide profound insight into…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-04-17 David B. Brückner , Pierre Ronceray , Chase P. Broedersz

Many living and complex systems exhibit second order emergent dynamics. Limited experimental access to the configurational degrees of freedom results in data that appears to be generated by a non-Markovian process. This poses a challenge in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Federica Ferretti , Victor Chardès , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Irene Giardina

Non-convex sampling is a key challenge in machine learning, central to non-convex optimization in deep learning as well as to approximate probabilistic inference. Despite its significance, theoretically there remain many important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Mohammad Reza Karimi , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Andreas Krause

Constrained sampling is an important and challenging task in computational statistics, concerned with generating samples from a distribution under certain constraints. There are numerous types of algorithm aimed at this task, ranging from…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Neil K. Chada , Lu Yu

Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

Learning dynamics from dissipative chaotic systems is notoriously difficult due to their inherent instability, as formalized by their positive Lyapunov exponents, which exponentially amplify errors in the learned dynamics. However, many of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yair Schiff , Zhong Yi Wan , Jeffrey B. Parker , Stephan Hoyer , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo (ULMC) is an algorithm used to sample from unnormalized densities by leveraging the momentum of a particle moving in a potential well. We provide a novel analysis of ULMC, motivated by two central questions:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Matthew Zhang , Sinho Chewi , Mufan Bill Li , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Murat A. Erdogdu

Langevin dynamics are widely used in sampling high-dimensional, non-Gaussian distributions whose densities are known up to a normalizing constant. In particular, there is strong interest in unadjusted Langevin algorithms (ULA), which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-24 Benjamin J. Zhang , Youssef M. Marzouk , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. We assume that, for numerical reasons, one has to time-discretize the diffusion process which…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Hernando Ombao

We study methods for simultaneous analysis of many noisy and biased estimates, each paired with an even noisier estimate of its own bias. The analyst's goal is to construct short calibrated intervals for each parameter. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Wanyi Ling , Sida Li , Junming Guan , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

In all applications in digital communications, it is crucial for an estimator to be unbiased. Although so-called soft feedback is widely employed in many different fields of engineering, typically the biased estimate is used. In this paper,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Susanne Sparrer , Robert F. H. Fischer