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Approximate Bayesian computation is an established and popular method for likelihood-free inference with applications in many disciplines. The effectiveness of the method depends critically on the availability of well performing summary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-23 Prashant Singh , Andreas Hellander

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems provides a rigorous framework for the incorporation and quantification of uncertainties in measurements, parameters and models. We are interested in designing numerical methods which are robust…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Claudia Schillings , Björn Sprungk , Philipp Wacker

Missing data is a recurrent issue in epidemiology where the infection process may be partially observed. Approximate Bayesian Computation, an alternative to data imputation methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo integration, is proposed…

Applications · Statistics 2010-08-31 Michael G. B. Blum , Viet Chi Tran

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Piecewise diffusion Markov processes (PDifMPs) form a versatile class of stochastic hybrid systems that combine continuous diffusion processes with discrete event-driven dynamics, enabling flexible modelling of complex real-world hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Sascha Desmettre , Agnes Mallinger , Amira Meddah , Irene Tubikanec

The study of almost surely discrete random probability measures is an active line of research in Bayesian nonparametrics. The idea of assuming interaction across the atoms of the random probability measure has recently spurred significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Mario Beraha , Raffaele Argiento , Federico Camerlenghi , Alessandra Guglielmi

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods permit approximate inference for intractable likelihoods when it is possible to simulate from the model. However they perform poorly for high dimensional data, and in practice must usually be…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-05 Dennis Prangle , Richard G. Everitt , Theodore Kypraios

We present a novel notion of complexity that interpolates between and generalizes some classic existing complexity notions in learning theory: for estimators like empirical risk minimization (ERM) with arbitrary bounded losses, it is upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Peter D. Grünwald , Nishant A. Mehta

Consider the problem of minimizing the sum of two convex functions, one being smooth and the other non-smooth. In this paper, we introduce a general class of approximate proximal splitting (APS) methods for solving such minimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Mojtaba Kadkhodaie , Maziar Sanjabi , Zhi-Quan Luo

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

In Bayesian statistics, posterior contraction rates (PCRs) quantify the speed at which the posterior distribution concentrates on arbitrarily small neighborhoods of a true model, in a suitable way, as the sample size goes to infinity. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

We present a new inference method based on approximate Bayesian computation for estimating parameters governing an entire network based on link-traced samples of that network. To do this, we first take summary statistics from an observed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-17 Jack Davis , Steven K. Thompson

We study the complexity of approximating Wassertein barycenter of $m$ discrete measures, or histograms of size $n$ by contrasting two alternative approaches, both using entropic regularization. The first approach is based on the Iterative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Alexey Kroshnin , Darina Dvinskikh , Pavel Dvurechensky , Alexander Gasnikov , Nazarii Tupitsa , Cesar Uribe

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

We consider the problem of uniformity testing of Lipschitz continuous distributions with bounded support. The alternative hypothesis is a composite set of Lipschitz continuous distributions that are at least $\varepsilon$ away in $\ell_1$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Sudeep Salgia , Qing Zhao , Lang Tong

Despite their widespread use in practice, the asymptotic properties of Bayesian penalized splines have not been investigated so far. We close this gap and study posterior concentration rates for Bayesian penalized splines in a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Paul Bach , Nadja Klein

Nonsmooth Riemannian optimization has attracted increasing attention, especially in problems with sparse structures. While existing formulations typically involve convex nonsmooth terms, incorporating nonsmooth difference-of-convex (DC)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Bo Jiang , Meng Xu , Xingju Cai , Ya-Feng Liu
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