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Urban traffic congestion remains a persistent issue for cities worldwide. Recent macroscopic models have adopted a mathematically well-defined relation between network flow and density to characterize traffic states over an urban region.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Mostafa Ameli , Jean-Patrick Lebacque , Negin Alisoltani , Ludovic Leclercq

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

Real-time navigation services, such as Google Maps and Waze, are widely used in daily life. These services provide rich data resources in real-time traffic conditions and travel time predictions; however, they have not been fully applied in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Xilei Zhao , James C. Spall

In this information era commuters prefer to know a reliable travel time to plan ahead of their journey using both public and private modes. In this direction reliability analysis using the location data of the buses is conducted in two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-03 Ashwini B P , R Sumathi , Sudhira H S

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Philippe C. Besse , Brendan Guillouet , Jean-Michel Loubes , Francois Royer

Public transportation is a major source of greenhouse gas emissions, highlighting the need to improve bus fuel efficiency. Clustering algorithms assist in analyzing fuel efficiency by grouping data into clusters, but irrelevant features may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Zhipeng Ma , Bo Nørregaard Jørgensen , Zheng Ma

This paper proposes a macroscopic model to describe the equilibrium distribution of passenger arrivals for the morning commute problem in a congested urban rail transit system. We use a macroscopic train operation sub-model developed by Seo…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-16 Jiahua Zhang , Kentaro Wada , Takashi Oguchi

Discovering human mobility patterns with geo-location data collected from smartphone users has been a hot research topic in recent years. In this paper, we attempt to discover daily mobile patterns based on GPS data. We view this problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Weizhu Qian , Fabrice Lauri , Franck Gechter

Autonomous vehicles are expected to navigate in complex traffic scenarios with multiple surrounding vehicles. The correlations between road users vary over time, the degree of which, in theory, could be infinitely large, thus posing a great…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Yaohui Guo , Vinay Varma Kalidindi , Mansur Arief , Wenshuo Wang , Jiacheng Zhu , Huei Peng , Ding Zhao

Queue networks describe complex stochastic systems of both theoretical and practical interest. They provide the means to assess alterations, diagnose poor performance and evaluate robustness across sets of interconnected resources. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-02 Iker Perez , David Hodge , Theodore Kypraios

Motivated by the application to German interest rates, we propose a timevarying autoregressive model for short and long term prediction of time series that exhibit a temporary non-stationary behavior but are assumed to mean revert in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Christoph Berninger , Almond Stöcker , David Rügamer

This work provides two statistical Gaussian forecasting methods for predicting First Daily Departure Times (FDDTs) of everyday use electric vehicles. This is important in smart grid applications to understand disconnection times of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-17 Nicholas H. Kirk , Ilya Dianov

In an increasingly interconnected world, understanding congestion-related phenomena in transportation and their underlying mechanisms is crucial for improving efficiency. As the transportation system becomes denser, different modes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-04 Sakurako Tanida , Thorsten Pöschel

Addressing the Integrated Timetabling and Vehicle Scheduling (TTVS) problem is important for improving transit operations. Recently, the emerging modular autonomous vehicles composed of modular autonomous units have made it possible to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Dongyang Xia , Jihui Ma , Shadi Sharif Azadeh

The existing methods for trajectory prediction are difficult to describe trajectory of moving objects in complex and uncertain environment accurately. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes an adaptive trajectory prediction…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Hu Jin

A multi-modal transport system is acknowledged to have robust failure tolerance and can effectively relieve urban congestion issues. However, estimating the impact of disruptions across multi-transport modes is a challenging problem due to…

Bus bunching is ostensibly regarded as a detrimental phenomenon in bus systems. We study a bus loop with two bus stops, one regular and one spike bus stop, where bunched buses can outperform staggered buses. The spike bus stop models a bus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-10 Luca Vismara , Vee-Liem Saw , Lock Yue Chew

We study real-time routing policies in smart transit systems, where the platform has a combination of cars and high-capacity vehicles (e.g., buses or shuttles) and seeks to serve a set of incoming trip requests. The platform can use its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-22 Siddhartha Banerjee , Chamsi Hssaine , Noémie Périvier , Samitha Samaranayake

Modern Internet services, such as those at Google, Yahoo!, and Amazon, handle billions of requests per day on clusters of thousands of computers. Because these services operate under strict performance requirements, a statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-04-18 Charles Sutton , Michael I. Jordan

We tackle the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain time-varying locations. The uncertainties are modeled using widely accepted Gaussian distributions, resulting in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-16 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour