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Accurate traffic flow prediction, a hotspot for intelligent transportation research, is the prerequisite for mastering traffic and making travel plans. The speed of traffic flow can be affected by roads condition, weather, holidays, etc.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Jianlei Kong , Xiaomeng Fan , Xue-Bo Jin , Min Zuo

In cargo logistics, a key performance measure is transport risk, defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time. Neither earliness nor tardiness is desirable for customer and freight forwarders. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-22 Yan Shang , David B. Dunson , Jing-Sheng Song

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski

Despite an extensive literature has been devoted to mine and model mobility features, forecasting where, when and whom people will encounter/colocate still deserve further research efforts. Forecasting people's encounter and colocation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-07 Karim Karamat Jahromi , Matteo Zignani , Sabrina Gaito , Gian Paolo Rossi

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Nikolas Geroliminis

We present the fundamentals of a measure transport approach to sampling. The idea is to construct a deterministic coupling---i.e., a transport map---between a complex "target" probability measure of interest and a simpler reference measure.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-27 Youssef Marzouk , Tarek Moselhy , Matthew Parno , Alessio Spantini

With people constantly migrating to different urban areas, our mobility needs for work, services and leisure are transforming rapidly. The changing urban demographics pose several challenges for the efficient management of transit services.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-08 Trivik Verma , Mikhail Sirenko , Itto Kornecki , Scott Cunningham , Nuno AM Araújo

Dynamic transportation networks have been analyzed for years by means of static graph-based indicators in order to study the temporal evolution of relevant network components, and to reveal complex dependencies that would not be easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani , Augusto Voltes-Dorta

Accurate and reliable aircraft landing time prediction is essential for effective resource allocation in air traffic management. However, the inherent uncertainty of aircraft trajectories and traffic flows poses significant challenges to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Kyungmin Kim , Seokbin Yoon , Keumjin Lee

With the rise of big data technologies, many smart transportation applications have been rapidly developed in recent years including bus arrival time predictions. This type of applications help passengers to plan trips more efficiently…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Dairui Liu , Jingxiang Sun , Shen Wang

Travel time on a route varies substantially by time of day and from day to day. It is critical to understand to what extent this variation is correlated with various factors, such as weather, incidents, events or travel demand level in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Shuguan Yang , Sean Qian

Given an increasingly volatile climate, the relationship between weather and transit ridership has drawn increasing interest. However, challenges stemming from spatio-temporal dependency and non-stationarity have not been fully addressed in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-22 Francisco Rowe , Michael Mahony , Sui Tao

Vehicle mobility has a significant impact on wireless communication between vehicles (buses) in Public Transportation Systems (PTS). Nevertheless, the transportation literature does not provide satisfactory models for bus movements because…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Eduardo R. Manika , Emilio C. G. Wille , Joilson Alves

Traffic forecasting from past observed traffic data with small calculation complexity is one of important problems for planning of servers and networks. Focusing on World Wide Web (WWW) traffic as fundamental investigation, this paper would…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-12-03 Daiki Koizumi , Toshiyasu Matsushima , Shigeichi Hirasawa

This paper investigates the influencing factors in passengers' multimodal traffic choice behaviors and provides a decision-making basis and improvement strategies. By collecting large individual-level data through a comprehensive field…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-03 Xiaowei Li , Xiaojiao Hu , Junqing Tang , Wei Wang

This paper proposes a stochastic framework to evaluate the performance of public transit systems under short random service suspensions. We aim to derive closed-form formulations of the mean and variance of the queue length and waiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Baichuan Mo , Li Jin , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Zuo-Jun Max Shen , Jinhua Zhao

We present BusTr, a machine-learned model for translating road traffic forecasts into predictions of bus delays, used by Google Maps to serve the majority of the world's public transit systems where no official real-time bus tracking is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Richard Barnes , Senaka Buthpitiya , James Cook , Alex Fabrikant , Andrew Tomkins , Fangzhou Xu

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer

It is commonly seen that buses are blocked by the ones in front serving passengers and have to queue outside a curbside bus stop although there are vacant berths at the stop. The resultant bus delays degrade the service level of urban…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Wanjing Ma , Shiqi Ou , Chunhui Yu

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly