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Causal and nonparametric estimands in economics and biostatistics can often be viewed as the mean of a linear functional applied to an unknown outcome regression function. Naively learning the regression function and taking a sample mean of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-12 Christian L. Hines , Oliver J. Hines

In clinical studies, the illness-death model is often used to describe disease progression. A subject starts disease-free, may develop the disease and then die, or die directly. In clinical practice, disease can only be diagnosed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Marta Spreafico , Anja J. Rueten-Budde , Hein Putter , Marta Fiocco

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

We propose a unified framework for likelihood-based regression modeling when the response variable has finite support. Our work is motivated by the fact that, in practice, observed data are discrete and bounded. The proposed methods assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

We consider survival data that combine three types of observations: uncensored, right-censored, and left-censored. Such data arises from screening a medical condition, in situations where self-detection arises naturally. Our goal is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-08 Jonathan Yefenof , Yair Goldberg , Jennifer Wiler , Avishai Mandelbaum , Ya'acov Ritov

This paper studies nonparametric regression with repeated measurements when the response in the target domain is unobservable or costly to collect. We adopt a transfer learning framework that leverages a source domain with observable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Yingxuan Wang , Xiangyu Xing , Wangli Xu

The mixture cure rate model is the most commonly used cure rate model in the literature. In the context of mixture cure rate model, the standard approach to model the effect of covariates on the cured or uncured probability is to use a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Suvra Pal , Yingwei Peng , Sandip Barui , Pei Wang

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson

Risk prediction models are widely used to guide real-world decision-making in areas such as healthcare and economics, and they also play a key role in estimating nuisance parameters in semiparametric inference. The super learner is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric estimation of the multivariate regression function in the presence of right censored data. More precisely, we propose a statistic that is shown to be asymptotically normally distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Mohammed Debbarh , Vivian Viallon

Learning causal effects of a binary exposure on time-to-event endpoints can be challenging because survival times may be partially observed due to censoring and systematically biased due to truncation. In this work, we present debiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Eric R. Morenz , Charles J. Wolock , Marco Carone

Fulfilling the promise of precision medicine requires accurately and precisely classifying disease states. For cancer, this includes prediction of survival time from a surfeit of covariates. Such data presents an opportunity for improved…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-22 Shannon R. McCurdy , Annette Molinaro , Lior Pachter

We propose a new method for input variable selection in nonlinear regression. The method is embedded into a kernel regression machine that can model general nonlinear functions, not being a priori limited to additive models. This is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Magda Gregorová , Jason Ramapuram , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

We introduce a new survival tree method for censored failure time data that incorporates three key advancements over traditional approaches. First, we develop a more computationally efficient splitting procedure that effectively mitigates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Ruiwen Zhou , Ke Xie , Lei Liu , Zhichen Xu , Jimin Ding , Xiaogang Su

Feature selection that selects an informative subset of variables from data not only enhances the model interpretability and performance but also alleviates the resource demands. Recently, there has been growing attention on feature…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Zahra Atashgahi , Xuhao Zhang , Neil Kichler , Shiwei Liu , Lu Yin , Mykola Pechenizkiy , Raymond Veldhuis , Decebal Constantin Mocanu

This paper considers the problem of inferring the causal effect of a variable $Z$ on a dependently censored survival time $T$. We allow for unobserved confounding variables, such that the error term of the regression model for $T$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Gilles Crommen , Jad Beyhum , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Evaluating the performance of a prediction model is a common task in medical statistics. Standard accuracy metrics require the observation of the true outcomes. This is typically not possible in the setting with time-to-event outcomes due…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zhenwei Yang , Dimitris Rizopoulos , Lisa F. Newcomb , Nicole S. Erler

In this paper, we investigate dynamic feature selection within multivariate time-series scenario, a common occurrence in clinical prediction monitoring where each feature corresponds to a bio-test result. Many existing feature selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Yutong Chen , Jiandong Gao , Ji Wu

Many epidemiological and clinical studies aim at analyzing a time-to-event endpoint. A common complication is right censoring. In some cases, it arises because subjects are still surviving after the study terminates or move out of the study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Andrew Ying
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