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Related papers: Architectural patterns for handling runtime uncert…

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We present a motion planning algorithm for a class of uncertain control-affine nonlinear systems which guarantees runtime safety and goal reachability when using high-dimensional sensor measurements (e.g., RGB-D images) and a learned…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Glen Chou , Necmiye Ozay , Dmitry Berenson

We investigate a method to deal with congestion of sectors and delays in the tactical phase of air traffic flow and capacity management. It relies on temporal objectives given for every point of the flight plans and shared among the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-18 Gaétan Marceau , Pierre Savéant , Marc Schoenauer

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to an ad-hoc operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

This paper describes a methodology for learning flight control systems from human demonstrations and interventions while considering the estimated uncertainty in the learned models. The proposed approach uses human demonstrations to train…

Real-Time Auction (RTA) Interception aims to filter out invalid or irrelevant traffic to enhance the integrity and reliability of downstream data. However, two key challenges remain: (i) the need for accurate estimation of traffic quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Gaoxiang Zhao , Ruinan Qiu , Pengpeng Zhao , Rongjin Wang , Xiaoting Wang , Zhangang Lin , Xiaoqiang Wang

Most mobile robots follow a modular sense-planact system architecture that can lead to poor performance or even catastrophic failure for visual inertial navigation systems due to trajectories devoid of feature matches. Planning in belief…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Shatil Rahman , Steven L. Waslander

Due to the penetration of renewable energy resources and load deviation, uncertainty handling is one of the main challenges for power system; therefore the need for accurate decision-making in a power system under the penetration of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Mohammad Hemmati , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo , Alireza Soroudi

Many current autonomous systems are being designed with a strong reliance on black box predictions from deep neural networks (DNNs). However, DNNs tend to be overconfident in predictions on unseen data and can give unpredictable results for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Björn Lütjens , Michael Everett , Jonathan P. How

Both industry and academia have made considerable progress in developing trustworthy and responsible machine learning (ML) systems. While critical concepts like fairness and explainability are often addressed, the safety of systems is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Patrick Kaiser , Christoph Kern , David Rügamer

In computational materials science, mechanical properties are typically extracted from simulations by means of analysis routines that seek to mimic their experimental counterparts. However, simulated data often exhibit uncertainties that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-07 Paul N. Patrone , Anthony J. Kearsley , Andrew M. Dienstfrey

We present a risk-aware formalism for evaluating system trajectories in the presence of uncertain interactions between the system and its environment. The proposed formalism supports reasoning under uncertainty and systematically handles…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Tichakorn Wongpiromsarn

Demands on the disaster response capacity of the European Union are likely to increase, as the impacts of disasters continue to grow both in size and frequency. This has resulted in intensive research on issues concerning spatially-explicit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-30 Dario Rodriguez-Aseretto , Christian Schaerer , Daniele de Rigo

Understanding model performance on unlabeled data is a fundamental challenge of developing, deploying, and maintaining AI systems. Model performance is typically evaluated using test sets or periodic manual quality assessments, both of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Anupama Murthi , Jiri Navratil

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Safety assurance is critical in the planning and control of robotic systems. For robots operating in the real world, the safety-critical design often needs to explicitly address uncertainties and the pre-computed guarantees often rely on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Hao Zhou , Yanze Zhang , Wenhao Luo

Density of the reachable states can help understand the risk of safety-critical systems, especially in situations when worst-case reachability is too conservative. Recent work provides a data-driven approach to compute the density…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Yue Meng , Zeng Qiu , Md Tawhid Bin Waez , Chuchu Fan

In a data-scarce field such as healthcare, where models often deliver predictions on patients with rare conditions, the ability to measure the uncertainty of a model's prediction could potentially lead to improved effectiveness of decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Lotta Meijerink , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti

The zeitgeist of the digital era has been dominated by an expanding integration of Artificial Intelligence~(AI) in a plethora of applications across various domains. With this expansion, however, questions of the safety and reliability of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Al-Harith Farhad , Ioannis Sorokos , Mohammed Naveed Akram , Koorosh Aslansefat , Daniel Schneider

Future urban transportation concepts include a mixture of ground and air vehicles with varying degrees of autonomy in a congested environment. In such dynamic environments, occupancy maps alone are not sufficient for safe path planning.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Ransalu Senanayake , Kyle Beltran Hatch , Jason Zheng , Mykel J. Kochenderfer