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Related papers: Recurrence flow measure of nonlinear dependence

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We integrate machine learning approaches with nonlinear time series analysis, specifically utilizing recurrence measures to classify various dynamical states emerging from time series. We implement three machine learning algorithms Logistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-21 Dheeraja Thakur , Athul Mohan , G. Ambika , Chandrakala Meena

An approach is proposed to determine structural shift in time-series assuming non-linear dependence of lagged values of dependent variable. Copulas are used to model non-linear dependence of time series components.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 Henry Penikas

Equations governing the nonlinear dynamics of complex systems are usually unknown and indirect methods are used to reconstruct their manifolds. In turn, they depend on embedding parameters requiring other methods and long temporal sequences…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-24 Valeria d'Andrea , Manlio De Domenico

Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

In turbulent flows, energy production is associated with highly organized structures, known as coherent structures. Since these structures are three-dimensional, their detection remains challenging in the most common situation, when…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-12 Subharthi Chowdhuri , Tirtha Banerjee

We present a numerical framework for recovering unknown non-autonomous dynamical systems with time-dependent inputs. To circumvent the difficulty presented by the non-autonomous nature of the system, our method transforms the solution state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-04 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

Graphical flows add further structure to normalizing flows by encoding non-trivial variable dependencies. Previous graphical flow models have focused primarily on a single flow direction: the normalizing direction for density estimation, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Jacobie Mouton , Steve Kroon

In this study, we address causal inference when only observational data and a valid causal ordering from the causal graph are available. We introduce a set of flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Minh Khoa Le , Kien Do , Truyen Tran

We investigate the problem of discovering and modeling regime shifts in an ecosystem comprising multiple time series known as co-evolving time series. Regime shifts refer to the changing behaviors exhibited by series at different time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Etienne Gael Tajeuna , Mohamed Bouguessa , Shengrui Wang

This paper presents a novel online identification algorithm for nonlinear regression models. The online identification problem is challenging due to the presence of nonlinear structure in the models. Previous works usually ignore the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Guang-Yong Chen , Min Gan , Jing Chen , Long Chen

In this paper, a class of statistics named ART (the alternant recursive topology statistics) is proposed to measure the properties of correlation between two variables. A wide range of bi-variable correlations both linear and nonlinear can…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-26 Lijue Liu , Ming Li , Sha Wen

Recurrent neural networks have gained widespread use in modeling sequential data. Learning long-term dependencies using these models remains difficult though, due to exploding or vanishing gradients. In this paper, we draw connections…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Bo Chang , Minmin Chen , Eldad Haber , Ed H. Chi

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

We present an analytical description of the distribution of diagonal lines in Recurrence Plots (RPs) for white noise and chaotic systems, and find that the latter one is linked to the correlation entropy. Further we identify two scaling…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Thiel , M. C. Romano , J. Kurths

This paper proposes a sequential test procedure for determining the number of regimes in nonlinear multivariate autoregressive models. The procedure relies on linearity and no additional nonlinearity tests for both multivariate smooth…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-05 Andrea Bucci

Developing robust simulation tools for problems involving multiple mathematical scales has been a subject of great interest in computational mathematics and engineering. A desirable feature to have in a numerical formulation for multiscale…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-06-19 S. Karimi , K. B. Nakshatrala

Inferring causal relations from observational time series data is a key problem across science and engineering whenever experimental interventions are infeasible or unethical. Increasing data availability over the past decades has spurred…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Elena Saggioro , Jana de Wiljes , Marlene Kretschmer , Jakob Runge

The extent of parallelization of a loop is largely determined by the dependences between its statements. While dependence free loops are fully parallelizable, those with loop carried dependences are not. Dependence distance is a measure of…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2013-11-14 Archana Kale , Amitkumar Patil , Supratim Biswas

The unknown inputs in a dynamical system may represent unknown external drivers, input uncertainty, state uncertainty, or instrument faults and thus unknown-input reconstruction has several wide-spread applications. In this paper we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Roshan A Chavan , Harish J. Palanthandalam-Madapusi