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Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Recurrence networks are powerful tools used effectively in the nonlinear analysis of time series data. The analysis in this context is done mostly with unweighted and undirected complex networks constructed with specific criteria from the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-18 Rinku Jacob , K. P. Harikrishnan , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Analyzing data from paleoclimate archives such as tree rings or lake sediments offers the opportunity of inferring information on past climate variability. Often, such data sets are univariate and a proper reconstruction of the system's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-29 Jaqueline Lekscha , Reik V. Donner

Classical Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) of long-time processes with strongly separated time scales is computationally extremely demanding if not impossible. Consequently, the state-of-the-art description of such systems is not capable…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-08 Thomas Lichtenegger , Stefan Pirker

Recurrent temporal dynamics is a phenomenon observed frequently in high-dimensional complex systems and its detection is a challenging task. Recurrence quantification analysis utilizing recurrence plots may extract such dynamics, however it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-22 Peter beim Graben , Kristin K. Sellers , Flavio Fröhlich , Axel Hutt

Recurrent signals give rise to trajectories that repeatedly return close to earlier states in state space. Many analysis methods therefore require a principled notion of similarity between states. In practice, a recurrence threshold sets…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Omer Bahadir Eryilmaz , Cihan Katar , Max A. Little

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Modeling inter-dependencies between time-series is the key to achieve high performance in anomaly detection for multivariate time-series data. The de-facto solution to model the dependencies is to feed the data into a recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Yuhang Wu , Mengting Gu , Lan Wang , Yusan Lin , Fei Wang , Hao Yang

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

The discrete-time robust repetitive control (RC, or repetitive controller, also designated RC) problem for nonlinear systems is both challenging and practical. This paper proposes a discrete-time output-feedback RC design for a class of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-09 Quan Quan , Lu Jiang , Kai-Yuan Cai

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

Quantification of relations between measured variables of interest by statistical measures of dependence is a common step in analysis of climate data. The term "connectivity" is used in the network context including the study of complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-12 Jaroslav Hlinka , David Hartman , Martin Vejmelka , Dagmar Novotná , Milan Paluš

Measures of linear dependence (coherence) and nonlinear dependence (phase synchronization) between any number of multivariate time series are defined. The measures are expressed as the sum of lagged dependence and instantaneous dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-12 Roberto D. Pascual-Marqui

Coherent systems are representative of many practical applications, ranging from infrastructure networks to supply chains. Probabilistic evaluation of such systems remains challenging, however, because existing decomposition-based methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Ji-Eun Byun , Hyeuk Ryu , Junho Song

Recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) is a widely used tool for studying complex dynamical systems, but its standard implementation requires computationally expensive calculations of recurrence plots (RPs) and line length histograms.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-06 Norbert Marwan

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

The knowledge of transitions between regular, laminar or chaotic behavior is essential to understand the underlying mechanisms behind complex systems. While several linear approaches are often insufficient to describe such processes, there…

Medical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Marwan , N. Wessel , U. Meyerfeldt , A. Schirdewan , J. Kurths

Copulas are a fundamental tool for modelling multivariate dependencies in data, forming the method of choice in diverse fields and applications. However, the adoption of existing models for multimodal and high-dimensional dependencies is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Theodoros Damoulas