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Extinction times in resampling processes are fundamental yet often intractable, as previous formulas scale as $2^M$ with the number of states $M$ present in the initial probability distribution. We solve this by treating multinomial updates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-25 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

Motivated by various applications, we describe the scaling limits of bivariate Markov chains $(X,J)$ on $\mathbb Z_+ \times \{1,\ldots,\kappa\}$ where $X$ can be viewed as a position marginal and $\{1,\ldots,\kappa\}$ is a set of $\kappa$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Bénédicte Haas , Robin Stephenson

We construct a family of self-similar Markov martingales with given marginal distributions. This construction uses the self-similarity and Markov property of a reference process to produce a family of Markov processes that possess the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Fima Klebaner

In this paper, we discuss general criteria of limsup law of iterated logarithm (LIL) for continuous-time Markov processes. We consider minimal assumptions for LILs to hold at zero(at infinity, respectively) in general metric measure spaces.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Soobin Cho , Panki Kim , Jaehun Lee

Semi-Markov processes represent a well known and widely used class of random processes in classical probability theory. Here, we develop an extension of this type of non-Markovian dynamics to the quantum regime. This extension is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-04-30 Heinz-Peter Breuer , Bassano Vacchini

We study the asymptotic properties, in the weak sense, of regenerative processes and Markov renewal processes. For the latter, we derive both renewal-type results, also concerning the related counting process, and ergodic-type ones,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Andrea Pedicone , Fabrizio Cinque

Many driven systems alternate between bursts of activity and quiescence and can become trapped in an absorbing state, such as complete inactivity in reaction-diffusion processes or extinction in predator-prey dynamics. It is generally…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-14 Kartik Chhajed , P. K. Mohanty

We propose some backward-forward martingale decompositions for functions of reversible Markov chains. These decompositions are used to prove the functional CLT for reversible Markov chains with asymptotically linear variance of partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Martial Longla

This is a survey paper about reciprocal processes. The bridges of a Markov process are also Markov. But an arbitrary mixture of these bridges fails to be Markov in general. However, it still enjoys the interesting properties of a reciprocal…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Christian Léonard , Sylvie Roelly , Jean-Claude Zambrini

Let ${\mathcal A}$ be the ${\mathcal L}^q-$functional of a stable L\'evy process starting from one and killed when crossing zero. We observe that ${\mathcal A}$ can be represented as the independent quotient of two infinite products of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Julien Letemplier , Thomas Simon

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

New algorithms for computing power moments of hitting times and accumulated rewards of hitting type for semi-Markov processes. The algorithms are based on special techniques of sequential phase space reduction and recurrence relations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Raimondo Manca

We construct a non-decreasing pure jump Markov process, whose jump measure heavily depends on the values taken by the process. We determine the singularity spectrum of this process, which turns out to be random and to depend locally on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-02 Julien Barral , Nicolas Fournier , Stephane Jaffard , Stephane Seuret

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

Generic non-Markovian quantum processes have infinitely long memory, implying an exact description that grows exponentially in complexity with observation time. Here, we present a finite memory ansatz that approximates (or recovers) the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-13 Philip Taranto , Felix A. Pollock , Kavan Modi

We consider a reflected process in the positive orthant driven by an exogenous jump process. For a given input process, we show that there exists a unique minimal strong solution to the given particle system up until a certain maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Graeme Baker , Ankita Chatterjee

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

This work is a continuation of [Kalikaeva, MPRF, 23(2):225-240]. The object of study is ``Markov-up processes'' on $\mathbb Z_+$ and the moment of downcrossing a certain barrier. The processes considered in this paper differ from Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Diana Kalikaeva

For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

A catastrophe model for the onset of fast magnetic reconnection is presented that suggests why plasma systems with magnetic free energy remain apparently stable for long times and then suddenly release their energy. For a given set of…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. A. Cassak , M. A. Shay , J. F. Drake