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In this paper we study the susceptible-infectious (SI) epidemiological model using dynamical graphs. Dynamical structures have been recently applied in many areas including complex systems. Dynamical structures include the mutual…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-19 Jose L. Herrera , Gilberto Gonzalez-Parra

Monitoring health resource disparities during public health crises is critical, yet traditional methods, like surveys, lack the requisite speed and spatial granularity. This study introduces a novel framework that leverages: 1) crowdsourced…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Zhaoqian Xue , Guanhong Liu , Chong Zhang , Kai Wei , Qingcheng Zeng , Songhua Hu , Wenyue Hua , Lizhou Fan , Yongfeng Zhang , Lingyao Li

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

Over the past decade, researchers have focused increasing levels of attention on the use of survey and non-survey data to inform decision-making by multiple stakeholders. Work with such data generally requires extensive exploration before a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-04 Randall Powers , Darcy Steeg Morris , John Eltinge , Wendy Martinez

This research presents an advanced fractional-order compartmental model designed to delve into the complexities of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, specifically accounting for the influence of environmental pathogens on disease spread. By…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-09 Moein Khalighi , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Leo Lahti

We study the problem of containing epidemic spreading processes in temporal networks. We specifically focus on the problem of finding a resource allocation to suppress epidemic infection, provided that an empirical time-series data of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Masaki Ogura , Junichi Harada

Contacts' temporal ordering and dynamics are crucial for understanding the transmission of infectious diseases. We introduce an interaction-driven model of an airborne disease over contact networks. We demonstrate our interaction-driven…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Alex Abbey , Yanir Marmor , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to upgrade systems for infectious disease surveillance and forecasting and modeling of the spread of infection, both of which inform evidence-based public health guidance and policies. Here, we…

Over the past decades, improvements in data collection hardware coupled with novel artificial intelligence algorithms have made it possible for researchers to understand urban environments at an unprecedented scale. From local interactions…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Joao Rulff , Giancarlo Pereira , Maryam Hosseini , Marcos Lage , Claudio Silva

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz

Contacts between individuals serve as pathways where infections may propagate. These contact patterns can be represented by network structures. Static structures have been the common modeling paradigm but recent results suggest that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Adeline Decuyper , Vincent D Blondel

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Spatial small area estimation models have become very popular in some contexts, such as disease mapping. Data in disease mapping studies are exhaustive, that is, the available data are supposed to be a complete register of all the…

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

One of the elements that have popularized and facilitated the use of geographical information on a variety of computational applications has been the use of Web maps; this has opened new research challenges on different subjects, from…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2009-11-05 Rafael Ponce-Medellin , Gabriel Gonzalez-Serna , Rocio Vargas , Lirio Ruiz

The proliferation of consumer health devices such as smart watches, sleep monitors, smart scales, etc, in many countries, has not only led to growing interest in health monitoring, but also to the development of a countless number of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Saturnino Luz , Masood Masoodian

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

Temporal graphs represent interactions between entities over time. Deciding whether entities can reach each other through temporal paths is useful for various applications such as in communication networks and epidemiology. Previous works…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Luiz Fernando Afra Brito , Marcelo Keese Albertini , Bruno Augusto Nassif Travençolo , Gonzalo Navarro

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Social interactions are stratified in multiple contexts and are subject to complex temporal dynamics. The systematic study of these two features of social systems has started only very recently mainly thanks to the development of multiplex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-12 Quan-Hui Liu , Xinyue Xiong , Qian Zhang , Nicola Perra